The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forest Green Rovers 46.4%
Draw 27.4%
Northampton Town 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
27%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
18.3%
38.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forest Green Rovers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Forest Green Rovers - Northampton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Forest Green has the most likely position - 1 (7.98%), has project points - 70, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a chance of promoted (27%), has a small chance of win league (8%).
Northampton has the most likely position - 1 (9.13%), has project points - 71, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a chance of promoted (29%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
Forest Green is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Forest Green will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
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