Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Stevenage Borough		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.45
	2.85	3.2	2.45
	2.9	3.2	2.55
	2.8	3.05	2.55
	2.89	3.24	2.68
	2.8	3	2.55
	2.99	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (2.91)	3.16 ↓ (3.19)	2.55 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
32.9%

Draw
30%

Morecambe
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.7%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

22%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morecambe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stevenage Borough - Morecambe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 21 and 6 in the zone Promotion to League Two (Play Offs)).

Stevenage has a chance of relegated (18%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Morecambe has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
02.02.21	Stevenage Borough - Exeter City	0:1 ✺
30.01.21	Grimsby Town - Stevenage Borough	1:2 ✺
26.01.21	Stevenage Borough - Colchester United	0:0 ✺
23.01.21	Exeter City - Stevenage Borough	3:1 ✺
16.01.21	Stevenage Borough - Tranmere Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTLT
- Morecambe
English League Two
30.01.21	Morecambe - Tranmere Rovers	0:1 ✺
26.01.21	Exeter City - Morecambe	0:2 ✺
23.01.21	Morecambe - Colchester United	3:0 ✺
19.01.21	Morecambe - Walsall	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Leyton Orient - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
14.11.20	Morecambe - Stevenage Borough	1:1
26.10.19	Stevenage Borough - Morecambe	1:0
19.01.19	Morecambe - Stevenage Borough	1:2
18.08.18	Stevenage Borough - Morecambe	1:0
13.01.18	Morecambe - Stevenage Borough	1:1
23.09.17	Stevenage Borough - Morecambe	2:1
14.04.17	Stevenage Borough - Morecambe	0:1

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