The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 41%
Draw 26.1%
Morecambe 32.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.9%
25%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.2%
26.5%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter City's form might have worsened.
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morecambe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morecambe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13%
1.4%
85.5%
Exeter City - Morecambe Predictions
Users Predictions:
69 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 9 - 13%). Morecambe will win (votes: 59 - 85.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 1.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Morecambe: 77.2% – 93.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Exeter has the most likely position - 15 (35.73%), project points - 55, currently - 53, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
Morecambe has the most likely position - 22 (52.84%), project points - 45, currently - 44, a good chance of relegated (80%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1.
Exeter has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Morecambe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Our prediction for today's Morecambe to win the game is with odds 2.84.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Exeter won 7 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.
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