Match Info

Date: 16 January 2021, Saturday


	Leyton Orient		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.75
	2.5	3.4	2.65
	2.55	3.35	2.75
	2.55	3.15	2.75
	2.69	3.23	2.89
	2.5	3.2	2.7
	2.61	3.5	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.39)	3.3 ↓ (3.42)	2.76 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
36.9%

Draw
28.7%

Morecambe
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.6%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

19.5%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morecambe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leyton Orient - Morecambe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 9 and 8).

Leyton Orient has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Morecambe has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (22%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Recent matches Leyton Orient is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Morecambe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League Two
02.01.21	Leyton Orient - Salford City	1:0 ✺
29.12.20	Leyton Orient - Southend United	2:0 ✺
26.12.20	Cambridge United - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
19.12.20	Leyton Orient - Crawley Town	1:2 ✺
15.12.20	Morecambe - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL
- Morecambe
English FA Cup
10.01.21	Chelsea - Morecambe	4:0 ✺
English League Two
26.12.20	Morecambe - Grimsby Town	3:1 ✺
19.12.20	Colchester United - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
15.12.20	Morecambe - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
12.12.20	Morecambe - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
15.12.20	Morecambe - Leyton Orient	2:1
02.11.19	Morecambe - Leyton Orient	1:0
07.02.17	Leyton Orient - Morecambe	0:1
03.09.16	Morecambe - Leyton Orient	1:2
19.03.16	Leyton Orient - Morecambe	1:0
24.10.15	Morecambe - Leyton Orient	0:1

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