Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Stevenage Borough		Southend United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.5
	1.85	3.6	4
	1.85	3.5	4.25
	1.82	3.3	4.4
	1.86	3.61	4.65
	1.83	3.25	4.4
	1.89	3.42	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.85)	3.45 ↓ (3.56)	4.44 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
51.3%

Draw
27.4%

Southend United
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

20.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Stevenage Borough - Southend United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Stevenage has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Southend has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Stevenage is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Southend is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stevenage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Southend have a series of guest games.

In this match Stevenage is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
02.12.20	Walsall - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
29.11.20	Stevenage Borough - Hull City	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
24.11.20	Stevenage Borough - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
21.11.20	Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.11.20	Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWWLL
- Southend United
English League Two
28.11.20	Bolton Wanderers - Southend United	3:0 ✺
24.11.20	Southend United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
14.11.20	Walsall - Southend United	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.11.20	Colchester United - Southend United	6:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Boreham Wood - Southend United	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
13.08.19	Stevenage Borough - Southend United	1:2
English EFL Trophy
08.11.16	Stevenage Borough - Southend United	4:0
English League Two
14.05.15	Southend United - Stevenage Borough	3:1 ET
10.05.15	Stevenage Borough - Southend United	1:1
21.02.15	Stevenage Borough - Southend United	4:2
16.08.14	Southend United - Stevenage Borough	2:0

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