Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 19

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Bell E. (Eng)


	Crawley Town		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3	3.3	2.35	Watch
	3.18	3.37	2.34
	3.12	3.27	2.28	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.3
	3.12	3.4	2.29	Watch
	3	3.3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.8)	3.35 ↑ (3.21)	2.31 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
30.9%

Draw
28.2%

Stevenage Borough
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	33.3%	20%

Crawley Town - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Stevenage will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joe Wollacott 20. Joy Mukena 5. Charlie Barker 24. Tobias Mullarkey 12. Panutche Camara 6. Max Anderson 19. Jeremy Kelly 22. Ade Adeyemo 10. Ronan Darcy 9. Will Swan 29. Tola Showunmi	13. Murphy Mahoney 4. Nathan Thompson 5. Carl Piergianni 3. Dan Butler 999. Rylee Mitchell 23. Louis Clyde William Thompson 11. Jordan Roberts 7. Nicholas Freeman 10. Daniel Kemp 18. Harvey White 19. Jamie Reid
Substitutes
999. Benjamin Tanimu 16. Eddie Beach 8. Gavan Holohan 11. Jack Roles 999. Jasper Sheik 27. Rafiq Khaleel 45. Tyreece John Jules	26. Eli King 17. Elliott List 14. Kane Smith 16. Lewis Freestone 1. Taye Ashby Hammond 12. Tyreece Simpson
Coaches
Elliot R.	Revell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', Piergianni C. 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Forster H. ⚽,
53', 1 - 1, Hanlan B. ⚽, Kemp D. (A),
54', Phillips D. 🟨,
63', Camara P. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
63', Showunmi T. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
63', Sweeney D. 🟨,
70', Hanlan B. ↓, Appere L. ↑,
77', Swan W. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
83', Phillips D. ↓, King E. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Quitirna A. ⚽, Hepburn-Murphy R. (A),
89', Thompson L. 🟨,
90', Reid J. ↓, List E. ↑,
90+1', Thompson L. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Doyle K. ⚽,
90+6', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
90+6', Anderson M. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Stevenage have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Crawley won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:29 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League One
08.02.25	Bolton Wanderers - Crawley Town	4:3 ✺
01.02.25	Crawley Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Mansfield Town - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Stockport County - Crawley Town	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Crawley Town - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWLT
- Stevenage Borough
English League One
08.02.25	Charlton Athletic - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.02.25	Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
English League One
01.02.25	Stevenage Borough - Exeter City	4:1 ✺
28.01.25	Wrexham - Stevenage Borough	2:3 ✺
25.01.25	Barnsley - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
30.12.22	Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town	3:1
01.10.22	Crawley Town - Stevenage Borough	1:2
05.02.22	Crawley Town - Stevenage Borough	2:2
18.01.22	Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town	2:1
01.05.21	Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town	3:3
16.02.21	Crawley Town - Stevenage Borough	0:1
22.02.20	Crawley Town - Stevenage Borough	2:0

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