The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stevenage Borough 59.2%
Draw 24.2%
Harrogate Town 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
25%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.6%
24.1%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
10%
30%
Stevenage Borough - Harrogate Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Harrogate will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 38.5% – 81.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 18).
Stevenage has the most likely position - 10 (6.29%), has project points - 67, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Harrogate has the most likely position - 23 (10.46%), has project points - 49, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality7, small importance24, small match rating16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Stevenage is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Harrogate has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Harrogate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Stevenage is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Stevenage to win the game is with odds 1.58.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
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