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Current Win Probability
Grimsby Town 54.6%
Draw 24.1%
Swindon Town 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
24.8%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
24.3%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
Grimsby Town - Swindon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Grimsby Town will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Smith J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 2. Kacurri M. 17. McJannet C. 16. Staunton R. 15. Turi G. D. 14. Amaluzor J. 4. Green K. (C) 29. Oduor C. 9. Kabia J. 39. Cook A.
1. Ripley C. (G) 5. Wright W. (C) 22. Knight-Lebel J. 16. Wilson-Brown T. 26. Batty J. 25. Borland A. 7. Nichols T. 31. Bodin B. 23. Drinan A. 30. Hoilett J. 28. Palmer O.
Substitutes
18. Burns D. 1. Pym C. (G) 10. Soonsup-Bell J. 3. Sweeney J. 30. Vernam C. 7. Walker J. 21. Warren T.
24. Holman F. 3. Mabete F. 33. McGregor J. 20. Middlemas B. 29. Olakigbe M. 21. Scanlon J. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Artell D.
Holloway I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Kabia J. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 2 - 0, Kacurri M. ⚽, Staunton R. (A),
43', 3 - 0, Kabia J. ⚽, Staunton R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
46', Knight-Lebel J. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
46', Hoilett J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
46', Bodin B. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
58', 4 - 0, Kabia J. ⚽,
61', Oduor C. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
61', Rodgers H. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
62', Kabia J. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
71', Drinan A. ↓, Middlemas B. ↑,
78', Amaluzor J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
78', Green K. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
88', Mabete F. 🟨,
90+6', McGregor J. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1.
Grimsby is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Swindon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Grimsby has had a series of away games.
In this match, Grimsby is the team to beat.
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Khouri E.
(Inactive)
Lavelle S.
(Injury)
Tharme D.
(Injury)
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Glatzel P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kilkenny G.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Tafazolli R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Grimsby: McEachran G.
(Inactive)
Sellars-Fleming T.
(Injury)
Svanthorsson J.
(Inactive)
We predict that Grimsby will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 1.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Grimsby: 4.36% Swindon: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Grimsby
10
3
4
3
13:11
2
13
17
Swindon
10
3
2
5
9:14
-5
11
Last Results with these Odds
Grimsby Town - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.97%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Smith J. (G) 
Kacurri M. 
Staunton R. 
Turi G. D. 
Oduor C. 
Knight-Lebel J. 
Borland A. 
Bodin B. 
Pym C. (G) 
Soonsup-Bell J. 
Mabete F. 
Scanlon J. 
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