The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 41.7%
Draw 28.7%
Northampton Town 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
29.5%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
30.5%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Swindon Town - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Northampton will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Swindon has the most likely position - 4 (9.59%), has project points - 75, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a chance of promoted (33%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
Northampton has the most likely position - 1 (14.2%), has project points - 82, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a chance of promoted (49%), has a small chance of win league (14%).
This event has small quality17, importance54, match rating36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 3.
At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
Recently Northampton have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Swindon won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.
Watch
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