Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 9

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Lamex Stadium (Stevenage)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Stevenage Borough		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.7
	2.65	3	2.75
	2.7	3.1	2.75
	2.75	3.1	2.84
	2.66	3.05	2.76	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.75
	2.7	3.14	2.73	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.48)	3.11 ↓ (3.34)	2.75 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
35.2%

Draw
30.5%

Wrexham
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.4%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Stevenage Borough - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cooper M. (G) 2. Wildin L. 4. Thompson N. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 3. Butler D. 23. Thompson L. 26. King E. 11. Roberts J. 22. Phillips D. 19. Reid J. 30. Young J.	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 29. Barnett R. 24. Scarr D. 5. O'Connell E. 6. O'Connor T. 23. Revan S. 15. Dobson G. 12. Evans G. 7. McClean J. (C) 11. Marriott J. 26. Fletcher S.
Substitutes
27. Aboh K. 1. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 7. Freeman N. 16. Freestone L. 10. Kemp D. 12. Simpson T. 18. White H.	3. Brunt L. 13. Burton C. (G) 8. Cannon A. 38. Lee E. 19. Mendy J. 10. Mullin P. 9. Palmer O.
Coaches
Revell A.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Thompson L. ⚽, Reid J. (A),
27', Butler D. 🟨,
39', O'Connor T. 🟨,
45+3', Evans G. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Young J. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
65', McClean J. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
66', O'Connor T. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
66', Fletcher S. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
68', Cannon A. 🟨,
74', Reid J. ↓, Simpson T. ↑,
75', King E. ↓, White H. ↑,
84', Revan S. ↓, Mendy J. ↑,
88', Roberts J. 🟨,
90+4', O'Connell E. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Recent matches Stevenage is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wrexham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wrexham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League One
28.09.24	Stevenage Borough - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
24.09.24	Wigan Athletic - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Exeter City - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Stevenage Borough - Barnsley	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLWL
- Wrexham AFC
English League One
28.09.24	Leyton Orient - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Wrexham - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Birmingham City - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.09.24	Wrexham - Salford City	2:1 ✺
English League One
07.09.24	Wrexham - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLWW

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