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Current Win Probability
Stockport County 46.5%
Draw 27.3%
Wrexham 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
27.5%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
27.5%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stockport County's performance.
Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wrexham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stockport County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wrexham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
58.3%
0%
Stockport County - Wrexham Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 16. Connolly C. 6. Horsfall F. 15. Pye E. 12. Southam-Hales M. 26. Norwood O. 4. Bate L. (C) 23. Rydel R. 14. Collar W. 19. Wootton K. 20. Barry L.
13. Burton C. (G) 29. Barnett R. 4. Cleworth M. 24. Scarr D. 6. O'Connor T. 7. McClean J. (C) 8. Cannon A. 15. Dobson G. 38. Lee E. 9. Palmer O. 28. Bodvarsson J.
Substitutes
33. Adaramola T. 34. Addai C. (G) 27. Bailey O. 10. Fevrier J. 18. Fiorini L. 5. Hughes S. 9. Olaofe I.
22. Faal M. 21. Howard M. (G) 37. James M. 10. Mullin P. 5. O'Connell E. 20. Rathbone O. 23. Revan S.
Coaches
Challinor D.
Parkinson P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Southam-Hales M. 🟨,
6', Horsfall F. 🟨,
20', Barry L. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Barry L. ⚽,
45', Cannon A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Cannon A. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
63', Scarr D. ↓, O'Connell E. ↑,
63', Bodvarsson J. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
63', Lee E. 🟨,
73', Barry L. ↓, Olaofe I. ↑,
73', Palmer O. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
80', Rathbone O. 🟨,
82', Norwood O. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
82', Southam-Hales M. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
82', Rydel R. ↓, Adaramola T. ↑,
85', Dobson G. ↓, James M. ↑,
90+2', Olaofe I. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stockport won 2.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Wrexham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Stockport have a series of home games.
Stockport will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Stockport won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:23 (average 1.6:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Stockport won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:6 (average 2.2:1).
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Hinchliffe B. (G) 
Southam-Hales M. 
Norwood O. 
O'Connor T. 
Bodvarsson J. 
Fiorini L. 
Faal M. 
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