Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Canada	SportsNet 1, Sportsnet Now, Sportsnet Now Plus, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 2
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	ITV X
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Harrogate Town		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.7	1.57
	5.5	4.2	1.57
	5.5	4	1.57	Watch
	5.4	4.12	1.57
	5.38	3.98	1.59	Watch
	5.5	4.2	1.6
	5.35	4.15	1.6	Watch
	5.5	4	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↓ (6.25)	4.04 ↓ (4.32)	1.58 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
17%

Draw
23.3%

Wrexham
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

21.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

21.5%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Harrogate Town - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (C) 2. Asare Z. 15. O'Connor A. 5. Moon J. 3. Foulds M. 21. Taylor E. 8. Cornelius D. 22. Dooley S. 9. Duke-McKenna S. 18. Muldoon J. 24. March J.	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 29. Barnett R. 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 6. O'Connor T. 23. Revan S. 20. Rathbone O. 15. Dobson G. 8. Cannon A. 9. Palmer O. 10. Mullin P. (C)
Substitutes
32. Bray J. 6. Burrell W. 11. Daly J. 35. Etherington M. 4. Falkingham J. 12. Folarin S. 1. Oxley M. (G) 33. Robinson O. 17. Sutton L.	28. Bodvarsson J. 17. Bolton L. 25. Boyle W. 13. Burton C. (G) 22. Faal M. 37. James M. 38. Lee E. 7. McClean J. 24. Scarr D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Muldoon J. ⚽, Duke-McKenna S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Palmer O. ↓, Bodvarsson J. ↑,
59', Revan S. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
59', Rathbone O. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
61', March J. 🟨,
67', Dobson G. 🟨,
68', March J. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
69', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Daly J. ↑,
74', McClean J. 🟨,
75', O'Connor T. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
86', Muldoon J. ↓, Sutton L. ↑,
88', Mullin P. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 1.

Harrogate is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wrexham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English League Two
26.10.24	Notts County - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Harrogate Town - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Carlisle United - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Harrogate Town - Newport County	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWL
- Wrexham AFC
English League One
26.10.24	Charlton Athletic - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Wrexham - Huddersfield Town	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Rotherham United - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Wrexham - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	3:0 ✺
English League One
05.10.24	Wrexham - Northampton Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.03.24	Wrexham - Harrogate Town	0:0
28.11.23	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	2:2
English FA Cup
06.11.21	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	2:1
English National League
25.01.20	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	0:2
08.10.19	Wrexham - Harrogate Town	1:1
27.04.19	Wrexham - Harrogate Town	2:1
English FA Cup
23.10.18	Wrexham - Harrogate Town	2:0

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