Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.8	3.6	4.1
	1.8	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.81	3.8	4.5
	1.8	3.65	4.25	Watch
	1.83	3.6	4.33
	1.81	3.8	4.25	Watch
	1.8	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)	3.69 ↓ (3.84)	4.29 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
52.4%

Draw
25.6%

Mansfield Town
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

24.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

24.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Wrexham - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 29. Barnett R. 4. Cleworth M. 24. Scarr D. 6. O'Connor T. 7. McClean J. (C) 8. Cannon A. 15. Dobson G. 38. Lee E. 9. Palmer O. 10. Mullin P.	1. Pym C. (G) 23. Oshilaja A. 14. Flint A. (C) 6. Cargill B. 4. Hewitt E. 17. Baccus K. 25. Reed L. 8. Lewis A. 22. Blake-Tracy F. 19. Gregory L. 11. Evans W.
Substitutes
28. Bodvarsson J. 17. Bolton L. 13. Burton C. (G) 22. Faal M. 19. Mendy J. 5. O'Connell E. 20. Rathbone O.	7. Akins L. 44. Boateng H. 9. Bowery J. 13. Flinders S. (G) 5. Kilgour A. 16. Quinn S. 21. Waine B.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Clough N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Barnett R. ⚽,
31', Pym C. ↓, Flinders S. ↑,
45', Baccus K. 🟨,
45+2', Palmer O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Baccus K. ↓, Boateng H. ↑,
68', Cannon A. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
68', Blake-Tracy F. ↓, Akins L. ↑,
68', Lewis A. ↓, Quinn S. ↑,
75', Mullin P. ↓, Bodvarsson J. ↑,
82', Lee E. ↓, Mendy J. ↑,
85', Hewitt E. ↓, Bowery J. ↑,
85', Reed L. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
90', Scarr D. 🟨,
90+1', Cargill B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 3.

Recent matches Wrexham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mansfield is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mansfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Charlton Athletic - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Wrexham - Huddersfield Town	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Rotherham United - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Wrexham - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTWW
- Mansfield Town
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Curzon Ashton - Mansfield Town	0:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	Mansfield Town - Newcastle United U21	3:0 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Mansfield Town - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Wigan Athletic - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Mansfield Town - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
29.03.24	Wrexham - Mansfield Town	2:0
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	1:2
English League Two
03.10.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	0:0
English National League
20.04.13	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	1:0
04.04.13	Wrexham - Mansfield Town	2:1
20.04.12	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	N/A

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