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Current Win Probability
Charlton Athletic 29.6%
Draw 29%
Wrexham 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
28.3%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
28.8%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlton Athletic's form might have worsened.
Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlton Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16%
8%
76%
Charlton Athletic - Wrexham Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Wrexham will win (votes: 19 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 59.3% – 92.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Wrexham (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wrexham will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
25. Mannion W. (G) 32. Burke R. 5. Jones L. (C) 17. Bell A. 2. Ramsay K. 6. Coventry C. 44. Clarke H. 14. Carey S. 8. Berry L. 7. Campbell T. 99. Dykes L.
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 15. Dobson G. 27. O'Brien L. 14. Andrew G. 20. Rathbone O. 33. Broadhead N. 19. Moore K.
Substitutes
21. Brooks T. (G) 19. Chambers L. 10. Docherty G. 77. Fevrier J. 3. Gillesphey M. 23. Kelman C. 11. Leaburn M. 26. Rankin-Costello J. 28. Sichenje C.
29. Barnett R. 11. Cadamarteri B. 7. Keillor-Dunn D. 47. Longman R. 24. Scarr D. 28. Smith S. 26. Vyner Z. 21. Ward D. (G) 10. Windass J.
Coaches
Jones N.
Parkinson P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Burke R. ↓, Sichenje C. ↑,
17', Ramsay K. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Rathbone O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Berry L. ↓, Rankin-Costello J. ↑,
68', Broadhead N. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
68', Kabore I. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
70', Coventry C. 🟨,
74', Coventry C. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
74', Bell A. ↓, Leaburn M. ↑,
77', Rathbone O. ↓, Vyner Z. ↑,
84', Ramsay K. ↓, Gillesphey M. ↑,
88', Dobson G. ↓, Scarr D. ↑,
88', Moore K. 🟨,
89', Moore K. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In recent matches, Charlton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Wrexham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Wrexham has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J.
(Ankle Injury)
Godden M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Knibbs H.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L.
(Injury)
James A.
(Injury)
James M.
(Inactive)
O'Connor T.
(Injury)
Sheaf B.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Charlton: Jones L.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Wrexham: Brunt L.
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
Including home match between the teams, Charlton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
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Mannion W. (G) 
Bell A. 
Coventry C. 
Dykes L. 
Cleworth M. 
Kabore I. 
Kelman C. 
Sichenje C. 
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