Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 40

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Warrington Rylands		Stocksbridge Park Steels

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.5	3.75
	1.86	3.71	3.49
	1.88	3.86	3.6	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.81	3.56	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.55)	3.59 ↓ (4.08)	3.63 ↓ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Warrington Rylands
49.6%

Draw
25.4%

Stocksbridge Park Steels
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.8%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Rylands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warrington Rylands's form might have worsened.

Stocksbridge Park Steels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stocksbridge Park Steels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warrington Rylands, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stocksbridge Park Steels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Warrington Rylands - Stocksbridge Park Steels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Smythe C. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Gamble P. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Gamble P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 3 - 1, Kiwomya A. ⚽,
70', 3 - 2, Poole T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Warrington Rylands is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stocksbridge's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Warrington Rylands may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Warrington Rylands is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Warrington Rylands won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Warrington Rylands	14	7	2	5	25:21	4	23

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Warrington Rylands: 2.95%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Rylands
English NPL Premier Division
06.04.26	Warrington Town - Warrington Rylands	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Warrington Rylands - Workington	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Rylands	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Warrington Rylands - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Leek Town - Warrington Rylands	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLW
- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
06.04.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Leek Town	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Cleethorpes Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Workington - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
23.08.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Warrington Rylands	0:0
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Warrington Rylands	1:2 penalties

Upcoming Matches