Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Stocksbridge Park Steels		Leek Town

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.4	2.98
	2.07	3.69	2.97
	2.11	3.76	3.03	Watch
	2.05	3.3	2.9
	2.07	3.5	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.17)	3.53 ↓ (3.58)	2.98 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksbridge Park Steels
43.8%

Draw
25.7%

Leek Town
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

26%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksbridge Park Steels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Stocksbridge Park Steels - Leek Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Campbell H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Campbell H. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In recent matches, Stocksbridge has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leek is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stocksbridge is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stocksbridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Leek	11	2	4	5	22:23	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Leek Town - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.05%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
02.04.26	Cleethorpes Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Workington - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTLT
- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
03.04.26	Leek Town - Bamber Bridge	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Morpeth Town - Leek Town	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Leek Town - Warrington Rylands	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Ashton United - Leek Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Leek Town - Stockton Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Leek Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:2

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