Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 33

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Leek Town		Stockton Town

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.55	1.85
	3.4	3.71	1.92
	3.45	3.94	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.85
	3.66	3.77	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (3.64)	3.65 ↓ (3.8)	1.88 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leek Town
26.4%

Draw
25%

Stockton Town
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

24.5%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

24%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leek Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Stockton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Leek Town - Stockton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 6).

Recent performances by Leek have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stockton Town is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stockton Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Stockton Town might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Leek won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Stockton	12	3	2	7	15:22	-7	11
17	Leek	11	2	4	5	22:23	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
24.02.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Leek Town	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Leek Town - Hebburn Town	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Lancaster City - Leek Town	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Leek Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Ilkeston - Leek Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTLWW
- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
21.02.26	Ashton United - Stockton Town	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Stockton Town - Prescot Cables	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Bamber Bridge - Stockton Town	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Stockton Town - Cleethorpes Town	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Guiseley - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
02.12.25	Stockton Town - Leek Town	1:2
29.01.25	Stockton Town - Leek Town	1:0
10.08.24	Leek Town - Stockton Town	0:2

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