Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 23

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Warrington Town		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.25	1.92
	3.57	3.46	1.88
	3.49	3.61	1.98	Watch
	3.4	3.2	1.91
	3.49	3.34	1.94
	3.5	3.4	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.31)	3.38 ↓ (3.54)	1.93 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Warrington Town
26%

Draw
26.9%

Hednesford Town
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

26.2%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

25.3%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Warrington Town - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 3.

Recent performances by Warrington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hednesford is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hednesford might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Warrington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Warrington Town - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 28.05%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
13.12.25	Rushall Olympic - Warrington Town	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Warrington Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Warrington Town - Morpeth Town	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Workington - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Hyde United - Warrington Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLTTW
- Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division
13.12.25	Ilkeston - Hednesford Town	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Hednesford Town - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ashton United - Hednesford Town	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Hednesford Town - Cleethorpes Town	1:0 ✺
18.11.25	Hednesford Town - Bamber Bridge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.08.25	Hednesford Town - Warrington Town	2:1
09.02.19	Warrington Town - Hednesford Town	3:1
10.11.18	Hednesford Town - Warrington Town	1:0
20.03.18	Warrington Town - Hednesford Town	4:1
24.02.18	Hednesford Town - Warrington Town	0:2
25.03.17	Warrington Town - Hednesford Town	1:0
10.12.16	Hednesford Town - Warrington Town	1:0

Upcoming Matches