The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stoke City 40.9%
Draw 28.7%
Bristol City 30.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.1%
27.7%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
27.7%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Stoke City - Bristol City Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Bristol City will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 1 - 100%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Stoke (2.40) (votes: 92%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Johansson V. (C) 16. Wilmot B. 18. Lawal B. 5. Graham L. 2. Johnson B. 27. Soumare D. 8. Galbraith E. 21. Bombino L. 7. McGlynn J. 11. Cisse L. 13. Devenny J.
40. Collins B. (G) 3. Pring C. 19. Tanner G. 15. McNally L. 2. Eissat L. 12. Knight J. (C) 8. Williams J. 21. Cardines R. 23. Ballard D. 27. Yah G. 9. Tolaj L.
Substitutes
10. Bae Jun-Ho 9. Bozenik R. 23. Gibson B. 24. Griffiths J. (G) 15. Hirst G. 4. Pearson B. 19. Rigo T. 40. Talovierov M. 22. Tchamadeu J.
5. Atkinson R. 11. Bell S. 6. De Keersmaecker B. 20. Greenwood S. 7. Hirakawa Y. 4. Randell A. 1. Tickle S. (G) 10. Twine S. 17. Wallace J.
Coaches
Robins M.
Skubala M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Cisse L. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
31', Soumare D. 🟨,
43', McNally L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Tolaj L. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
62', Yah G. ↓, De Keersmaecker B. ↑,
69', Soumare D. ↓, Tchamadeu J. ↑,
71', Knight J. 🟨,
81', Devenny J. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
87', Ballard D. ↓, Wallace J. ↑,
88', Knight J. ↓, Randell A. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2.
Stoke is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bristol City has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Stoke: Ampah A.
(Knee Injury)
Cresswell A.
(Knee Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Injury)
Ingelsson S.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Bristol City: Dickie R.
(Knee Injury)
Eile N.
(Illness).
Doubtful / questionable for Bristol City: Tolaj L.
(Knock)
Williams J.
(Inactive).
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Stoke has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:23 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stoke against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 13:12 goals (averaging 1.6:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Stoke
12
6
2
4
18:16
2
20
14
Bristol City
12
4
3
5
12:15
-3
15
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Bristol City: 1.33%
Last Results with these Odds
Stoke City - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40.07%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.