Match Info

Championship - Round 13

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)


	Stoke City		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.46	3.25	2.95	Watch
	2.35	3.33	3.02	Watch
	2.4	3.24	2.93	Watch
	2.41	3.3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.35)	3.28 ↓ (3.33)	2.94 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stoke City
39.4%

Draw
28.6%

Bristol City
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

29.3%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Stoke City - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Bristol City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johansson V. (G) 22. Tchamadeu J. 26. Phillips A. 16. Wilmot B. (C) 3. Cresswell A. 4. Pearson B. 8. Baker L. 42. Manhoef M. 10. Bae J. 7. Thomas S. 9. Mubama D.	23. Vitek R. (G) 19. Tanner G. 16. Dickie R. (C) 5. Atkinson R. 17. Sykes M. 4. Randell A. 14. Vyner Z. 21. Neto Borges 10. Twine S. 11. Mehmeti A. 30. Armstrong S.
Substitutes
17. Bocat E. 13. Bonham J. (G) 11. Bozenik R. 29. Cisse L. 23. Gibson B. 15. N'Zonzi S. 19. Rigo T. 12. Seko T. 40. Talovierov M.	7. Hirakawa Y. 9. Mayulu F. 2. McCrorie R. 31. Morrison E. 1. O'Leary M. (G) 29. Pecover L. 18. Riis E. 24. Roberts H. 32. Thomas L. (G)
Coaches
Robins M.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Mubama D. ⚽, Tchamadeu J. (A),
7', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
22', 2 - 0, Mubama D. ⚽,
25', 3 - 0, Manhoef M. ⚽, Mubama D. (A),
45', Cresswell A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Tanner G. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
47', 4 - 0, Tchamadeu J. ⚽, Manhoef M. (A),
49', Atkinson R. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
49', Twine S. ↓, McCrorie R. ↑,
57', Manhoef M. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
57', Pearson B. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
67', 5 - 0, Mubama D. ⚽, Cisse L. (A),
68', Mehmeti A. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
75', Thomas S. ↓, Rigo T. ↑,
78', Armstrong S. ↓, Thomas O. ↑,
82', 5 - 1, Sykes M. ⚽, Hirakawa Y. (A),
90+3', Seko T. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2.

Recent performances by Stoke have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bristol City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Stoke has had a series of away games.

Recently, Bristol City has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Knight J. (Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Stoke: Bocat E. (Injury) Lawal B. (Hamstring Injury) Pearson B. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
25.10.25	Portsmouth - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Millwall - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Stoke City - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWTT
- Bristol City
English League Championship
25.10.25	Bristol City - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Bristol City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Norwich City - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Bristol City - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
12.02.25	Bristol City - Stoke City	2:0
22.10.24	Stoke City - Bristol City	2:2
04.05.24	Stoke City - Bristol City	4:0
30.09.23	Bristol City - Stoke City	2:3
07.04.23	Stoke City - Bristol City	1:2
17.12.22	Bristol City - Stoke City	1:2
15.04.22	Stoke City - Bristol City	0:1

Upcoming Matches