Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Trening Centar Petar Miloševski (Skopje)

Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)


	Struga		Swift Hesperange

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.25	Watch
	3	3.3	2.15
	3.2	3.1	2.3
	3.05	3.3	2.3
	3.08	3.34	2.38
	3.13	3.28	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.45	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.5)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	2.29 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Struga
30.7%

Draw
28.2%

Swift Hesperange
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

28%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.4%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Struga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Struga's form might have worsened.

Swift Hesperange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swift Hesperange's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Struga than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Struga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swift Hesperange than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swift Hesperange, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.6%	42.3%	23.1%

Struga - Swift Hesperange Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Struga will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Swift Hesperange will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 42.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.3% – 61.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Kjosevski V. (G) 6. Neziri M. 55. Radic S. 16. Krivanjeva B. 24. Malikji E. 10. Bojku B. 11. Shabani B. (C) 33. Zguro V. 5. Mazrekaj M. 9. Ibraimi B. 14. Radeski M.	1. Czekanowicz Y. (G) 12. Ekofo N. 39. Simoes J. 4. Skenderovic A. 17. Martins S. 20. Ayongo P. 28. Morren C. 5. Couturier C. 35. Spruds D. 21. Sinani D. 10. Stolz D. (C)
Substitutes
22. Idrizi A. 7. Jahja A. 27. Jarovic S. 31. Jusuf K. 19. Kasami A. 1. Kitanovski K. (G) 29. Maleski H. 12. Mirseloski R. (G) 8. Tairi F. 3. Tairi H. 28. Ukpa H.	24. Akhalaia L. 7. Alioui R. 2. Dante A. K. 13. de Jesus Cardoso D. 15. Delgado R. 40. Dupire G. (G) 30. Gustavo 32. Matias Y. 16. Nouvier B. 45. Sadin A. (G) 27. Simon J.
Coaches
Duro S.	Fangueiro C.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Struga
North Macedonian 1 MFL
06.08.23	Struga - Gostivar	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.23	Budućnost Podgorica - Struga	3:4 ✺
26.07.23	Struga - Budućnost Podgorica	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	Struga - Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
11.07.23	Žalgiris - Struga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWLT
- Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg National Division
06.08.23	UNA Strassen - Swift Hesperange	1:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.23	Swift Hesperange - The New Saints	3:2 ✺
25.07.23	The New Saints - Swift Hesperange	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Jeunesse Esch - Swift Hesperange	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.23	Swift Hesperange - Slovan Bratislava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTWL

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