Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 5 December 2022, Monday


	Sturm Graz		Empoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.65
	2.25	3.7	2.5
	2.38	3.55	2.5
	2.36	3.59	2.33
	2.45	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.47	3.58	2.44	Watch
	2.28	3.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.81)	3.56 ↓ (3.63)	2.52 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
38.7%

Draw
25.4%

Empoli
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

24.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Empoli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Empoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	26.7%	66.7%

Sturm Graz - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Empoli will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sturm is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Empoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Empoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sturm have a series of guest games.

In this match Sturm is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sturm to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Club Friendly
03.12.22	Almería - Sturm Graz	0:1 ✺
25.11.22	Admira - Sturm Graz	0:4 ✺
18.11.22	Domžale - Sturm Graz	2:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
13.11.22	LASK Linz - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWTT
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
11.11.22	Empoli - Cremonese	2:0 ✺
08.11.22	Napoli - Empoli	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Empoli - Sassuolo	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Empoli - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
21.10.22	Juventus - Empoli	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL

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