Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 26

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Africa 2, ZAP
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Angola	18:00	Z Sport 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Belgium	18:00	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	14:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Chile	14:00	Disney+
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Disney+
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 2
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	18:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	01:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	18:00	Match 4, Net4+
India	22:30	GXR World
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	19:00	Sport 4
Italy	18:00	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 2
Macao	01:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	22:00	ICE Sports
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	Disney+
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:00	SuperSport Africa 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Philippines	01:00	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV7
Romania	19:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Africa 2
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
South Korea	02:00	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	20:00	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Arab Emirates	21:00	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
International	17:00	Disney+, Onefootball


	Empoli		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.48	Watch
	6.4	4.45	1.49
	6.96	4.55	1.49
	7.03	4.57	1.48	Watch
	6	4.33	1.44
	6.63	4.59	1.51	Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.57 ↑ (5.88)	4.5 ↑ (4.25)	1.48 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
14.5%

Draw
21.2%

Atalanta
64.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.2%

22.5%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

22.8%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	13.8%	75.9%

Empoli - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 6 - 10.5%). Atalanta will win (votes: 43 - 75.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 64.2% – 86.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silvestri M. (G) 22. De Sciglio M. 2. Goglichidze S. 3. Pezzella G. 11. Gyasi E. 5. Grassi A. (C) 6. Henderson L. 13. Cacace L. 99. Esposito Se. 93. Maleh Y. 18. Kouame C.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 5. Posch S. 19. Djimsiti B. 23. Kolasinac S. 16. Bellanova R. 15. De Roon M. (C) 8. Pasalic M. 77. Zappacosta D. 17. De Ketelaere C. 11. Lookman A. 32. Retegui M.
Substitutes
36. Bacci J. 37. Bembnista D. 98. Brancolini F. (G) 89. Campaniello T. 29. Colombo L. 90. Konate I. 20. Kovalenko V. 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 31. Tosto L. 23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 27. Zurkowski S.	44. Brescianini M. 7. Cuadrado J. 49. Del Lungo T. 13. Ederson 27. Palestra M. 28. Patricio R. (G) 31. Rossi F. (G) 22. Ruggeri M. 24. Samardzic L. 6. Sulemana I. 2. Toloi R. 45. Vavassori D. 48. Vlahovic V.
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
27', 0 - 1, Gyasi E. (Own goal),
33', 0 - 2, Retegui M. ⚽, Djimsiti B. (A),
43', 0 - 3, Lookman A. ⚽, Retegui M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 4, Lookman A. ⚽, De Roon M. (A),
57', Gyasi E. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
58', Kouame C. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
63', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Ederson ↑,
63', Djimsiti B. ↓, Toloi R. ↑,
67', Carnesecchi M. 🟨,
72', Grassi A. ↓, Zurkowski S. ↑,
72', Esposito Se. ↓, Campaniello T. ↑,
74', 0 - 5, Zappacosta D. ⚽, Pasalic M. (A),
76', Lookman A. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
76', Pasalic M. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
83', Maleh Y. ↓, Kovalenko V. ↑,
86', Zappacosta D. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli won 0.

Empoli has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atalanta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Empoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atalanta is a favorite.

There will not play in Empoli: Haas N. (Knee Injury) Marianucci L. (Red Card) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Kossounou O. (Thigh Injury) Maldini D. (Muscle Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Anjorin F. (Thigh Injury) Brancolini F. (Injury) Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Fazzini J. (Thigh Injury) Ismajli A. (Thigh Injury) Solbakken O. (Shoulder Injury) Viti M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Hien I. (Muscle Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Empoli won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11:24 (average 0.7:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:13 (average 0.6:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
16.02.25	Udinese - Empoli	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Empoli - Milan	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Juventus - Empoli	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Empoli - Bologna	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Inter Milan - Empoli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL
- Atalanta
UEFA Champions League
18.02.25	Atalanta - Club Brugge	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
15.02.25	Atalanta - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.02.25	Club Brugge - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.02.25	Verona - Atalanta	0:5 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.02.25	Atalanta - Bologna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.12.24	Atalanta - Empoli	3:2
28.04.24	Atalanta - Empoli	2:0
30.10.23	Empoli - Atalanta	0:3
17.03.23	Atalanta - Empoli	2:1
30.10.22	Empoli - Atalanta	0:2
21.05.22	Atalanta - Empoli	0:1
17.10.21	Empoli - Atalanta	1:4

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