Match Info

Date: 8 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Sturm Graz		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.4
	2.8	3.4	2.45
	2.85	3.5	2.48
	2.85	3.4	2.46
	2.92	3.5	2.5
	2.8	3.4	2.45
	2.88	3.54	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.6)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	2.46 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDNxtra 4

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
33.4%

Draw
27.7%

Midtjylland
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	21.6%	49%

Sturm Graz - Midtjylland Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 15 - 29.4%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 25 - 49%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 21.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 35.3% – 62.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sturm has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (8%), has a chance of 2nd (18%), has a chance of 3rd (33%), has a small chance of round of 16 (12%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Midtjylland has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (9%), has a chance of 2nd (18%), has a chance of 3rd (32%), has a small chance of round of 16 (13%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 52, importance 62, match rating 57. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Sturm is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Midtjylland is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sturm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sturm have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Sturm: Kiteishvili O. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sturm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sturm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
03.09.22	Sturm Graz - Hartberg	0:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
31.08.22	Sturm Graz - Austria Salzburg	3:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
28.08.22	Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	Sturm Graz - LASK Linz	0:1 ✺
13.08.22	Sturm Graz - Rheindorf Altach	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWLW
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
04.09.22	Midtjylland - Aalborg BK	0:2 ✺
29.08.22	Brøndby - Midtjylland	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus	0:2 ✺
12.08.22	Horsens - Midtjylland	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.08.22	Midtjylland - Benfica	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.07.15	Sturm Graz - Midtjylland	0:2

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