Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 2

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja (Minas)


	Sud América		Albion Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.2	1.75
	5	3.3	1.68
	4.43	3.28	1.84
	4.44	3.28	1.85
	4.7	3.15	1.82
	4.4	3.2	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↓ (5.23)	3.24 ↓ (3.62)	1.79 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
20.3%

Draw
28.4%

Albion Montevideo
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

25.2%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

24.5%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Albion Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albion Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sud América - Albion Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sud América won 2.

Sud América is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Albion is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Albion is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sud América won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Sud América won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.05.24	Colón Montevideo - Sud América	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	Sud América - La Luz	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Sud América	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Sud América - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Albion Montevideo - Sud América	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLLL
- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.05.24	Albion Montevideo - La Luz	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Albion Montevideo - Tacuarembó	0:0 ✺
17.04.24	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Albion Montevideo - Sud América	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.04.24	Albion Montevideo - Sud América	3:0
15.11.23	Sud América - Albion Montevideo	2:1
02.07.23	Albion Montevideo - Sud América	2:1
11.03.23	Sud América - Albion Montevideo	4:2
24.11.20	Sud América - Albion Montevideo	0:2
29.09.20	Albion Montevideo - Sud América	4:0
14.09.19	Albion Montevideo - Sud América	0:0

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