Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 6

Date: 10 June 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja (Minas)


	Sud América		Oriental de La Paz

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	2.79	2.97	2.2
	3.32	3.21	2.14
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.28	3.16	2.11
	3.2	3.15	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.96)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	2.14 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
28.9%

Draw
28.9%

Oriental de La Paz
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

30.3%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

27.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oriental de La Paz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Sud América - Oriental de La Paz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sud América will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Oriental will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Pucheta J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Brinon F. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 and 7).

Sud América is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Oriental is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oriental will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sud América won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sud América won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.06.24	Cerrito - Sud América	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Sud América - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0 ✺
26.05.24	Montevideo City Torque - Sud América	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Sud América - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Colón Montevideo - Sud América	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 WWLWT
- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.06.24	Oriental de La Paz - La Luz	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
25.05.24	Oriental de La Paz - Rentistas	0:2 ✺
18.05.24	Cooper - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.04.24	Sud América - Oriental de La Paz	1:2
16.10.23	Sud América - Oriental de La Paz	1:1
27.05.23	Oriental de La Paz - Sud América	3:1
04.03.23	Oriental de La Paz - Sud América	1:0

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