Match Info

Date: 19 June 2021, Saturday


	Sud América		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.83	Watch
	4	3.5	1.78
	3.6	3.5	1.8
	3.9	3.35	1.84
	4.38	3.63	1.88
	3.8	3.3	1.88
	3.95	3.54	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.3)	3.47 ↑ (3.33)	1.84 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
23.4%

Draw
26.5%

River Plate Montevideo
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

27.6%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

18.2%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sud América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-20.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sud América - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 5).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sud América won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Sud América won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.06.21	Liverpool Montevideo - Sud América	5:0 ✺
05.06.21	Sud América - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
30.05.21	Nacional Montevideo - Sud América	1:0 ✺
24.05.21	Sud América - Villa Española	2:1 ✺
15.05.21	Montevideo City Torque - Sud América	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTLWW
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.06.21	River Plate Montevideo - Progreso	4:0 ✺
06.06.21	Cerro Largo - River Plate Montevideo	2:4 ✺
30.05.21	Deportivo Maldonado - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.21	Corinthians - River Plate Montevideo	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.05.21	River Plate Montevideo - Fluminense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
04.11.17	River Plate Montevideo - Sud América	1:2
04.06.17	River Plate Montevideo - Sud América	0:2
26.03.17	Sud América - River Plate Montevideo	1:2
25.09.16	River Plate Montevideo - Sud América	0:3
20.02.16	Sud América - River Plate Montevideo	2:1
29.08.15	River Plate Montevideo - Sud América	2:0
16.05.15	Sud América - River Plate Montevideo	0:4

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