Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sukhothai		Samut Prakan City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.45
	2.5	3.15	2.5
	2.42	3.35	2.5
	2.6	3.59	2.62
	2.55	3.4	2.5
	2.42	3.72	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (3.89)	3.42 ↓ (3.72)	2.52 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sukhothai
36.8%

Draw
26.9%

Samut Prakan City
36.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24.4%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

19.7%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sukhothai's performance.

Samut Prakan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samut Prakan City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sukhothai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samut Prakan City than the current prediction. (+28.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samut Prakan City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sukhothai - Samut Prakan City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).

Sukhothai has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Samut Prakan City is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Samut Prakan City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sukhothai won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sukhothai won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
04.03.21	Pathum United - Sukhothai	2:0 ✺
28.02.21	Sukhothai - Bangkok United	0:1 ✺
24.02.21	Police Tero - Sukhothai	2:0 ✺
21.02.21	Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima	0:0 ✺
17.02.21	Sukhothai - Trat	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Samut Prakan City FC
Thai League 1
03.03.21	Suphanburi - Samut Prakan City	1:2 ✺
28.02.21	Samut Prakan City - Pathum United	0:6 ✺
24.02.21	Nakhon Ratchasima - Samut Prakan City	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Samut Prakan City - Prachuap	4:0 ✺
17.02.21	Samut Prakan City - Muangthong United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
01.11.20	Samut Prakan City - Sukhothai	3:2
21.07.19	Sukhothai - Samut Prakan City	1:2
17.03.19	Samut Prakan City - Sukhothai	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
01.11.26	Sukhothai - Ayutthaya United	✺

Sukhothai - Samut Prakan City