Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium (Sumqayit)

Referee: Hamzazade R. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Sumgayit		Araz Naxçıvan

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.15	3.2	2.98	Watch
	2.31	3.55	2.99
	2.24	3.09	3.16	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.25	3.13	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.15)	3.2 ↓ (3.33)	2.98 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumgayit
40.9%

Draw
28.6%

Araz Naxçıvan
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27.2%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

24.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The chances for Araz Naxçıvan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Araz will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farzullayev K. (G) 8. Abdullazada S. (C) 21. Ahmadzada N. 6. Badolo C. 33. Beskorovaynyi D. 64. Feyziyev K. 3. Haqverdi H. 11. Jankovic A. 10. Ninkovic N. 9. Ramalingom A. 23. Vasquez R.	12. Avram C. (G) 34. Abbasov U. (C) 24. Ahmadzada M. 6. Andrade P. 77. Bruno Franco 7. Keyta H. 4. Mammadov R. 17. Paro I. 23. Rodrigues N. 10. Santos F. 11. Simakala B.
Substitutes
12. Agamaliyev M. (G) 7. Ahmadzada R. 1. Cannatov M. (G) 24. Muradly S. 29. Mustafaev E. 37. Orujali N. 75. Orujov N. 97. Pashayev V. 72. Senhadji R. 95. Simon N. 20. Suleymanly A.	94. Ahmadli T. (G) 5. Alxasov 70. Boli C. 26. Buludov O. 33. Cafarov E. 19. Cohen B. 8. Diniyev C. 14. Isgandarov U. 86. Piriyev I. 16. Ramon Machado
Coaches
Kaplanovic V.	Demchenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', Haqverdi H. ↓, Senhadji R. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Ramalingom A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Keyta H. ↓, Boli C. ↑,
54', Boli C. 🟨,
55', Ninkovic N. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Simakala B. ⚽,
64', Rodrigues N. ↓, Cohen B. ↑,
64', Abbasov U. ↓, Buludov O. ↑,
74', Ninkovic N. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
74', Vasquez R. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
86', Badolo C. ↓, Mustafaev E. ↑,
88', Bruno Franco ↓, Alxasov ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Mammadov R. (Own goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 1.

Sumgayit has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Araz has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sumgayit could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sumgayit won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Araz	6	0	2	4	5:13	-8	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumgayit FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
02.05.26	Kapaz - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	İmişli - Sumgayit	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sumgayit - Gabala	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLL
- Araz Naxçıvan PFK
Azerbaijan Premier League
02.05.26	Araz Naxçıvan - İmişli	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Turan Tovuz	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
15.02.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Sumgayit	1:0
02.11.25	Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan	3:2
07.04.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Sumgayit	2:0
01.02.25	Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan	0:0
10.11.24	Araz Naxçıvan - Sumgayit	1:0
30.08.24	Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan	0:1
31.03.24	Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan	1:0

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