Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: Premier League - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Kapital Bank Arena (Sumgayit)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Sumgayit		Səbail

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	2.95	3.6
	1.98	3.1	3.7	Watch
	2.06	3.01	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3	4
	1.96	3.13	3.72
	2.02	3.05	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.19)	3.04 ↓ (3.26)	3.72 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumgayit
45.7%

Draw
29.9%

Səbail
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Səbail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Səbail might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Sumgayit - Səbail Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sumgayit will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Səbail will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cannatov M. (G) 5. Alan Dias 14. Badalov E. 19. Kehat R. 17. Khachayev M. 12. Kharaishvili G. 60. Mossi T. 24. Muradli S. 6. Mustafayev V. (C) 30. Quliyev K. 2. Tashkyn S.	12. Mustabazada A. (G) 11. Abdullazada R. (C) 18. Ahmadov S. 14. Allouch S. 20. Celik M. 8. Larrucea G. 3. Lytvyn D. 7. Maddi 96. Muradov I. 77. Nabiyev F. 4. Nikolic M.
Substitutes
8. Abdullazada S. 21. Ahmadzada N. 66. Aliyev R. 94. Azizli R. (G) 57. Farajli H. 36. Farzullayev K. (G) 7. Muradov R. 75. Orujov N. 20. Suleymanly A.	22. Abbasov M. 19. Abdullayev S. 10. Gomis D. 97. Mammadov O. 25. Mammadzada N. (G) 99. Nshuti I. 1. Quliyev H. (G) 83. Quliyev N. 16. Rustamov E. 88. Shiraliyev H. 5. Sofir G.
Coaches
Cavadov V.	Huseynov C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Muradov I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Abdullazada R. ⚽,
54', Mustafayev V. ↓, Abdullazada S. ↑,
60', Muradli S. ↓, Suleymanly A. ↑,
71', Nabiyev F. ↓, Nshuti I. ↑,
71', Tashkyn S. ↓, Muradov R. ↑,
78', Khachayev M. 🟨,
79', 0 - 2, Abdullazada R. ⚽,
83', Abdullazada R. ↓, Mammadov O. ↑,
84', Ahmadov S. 🟨,
89', Muradov I. ↓, Quliyev N. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumgayit FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
20.12.24	Kapaz - Sumgayit	0:0 ✺
16.12.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit	5:0 ✺
08.12.24	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
04.12.24	Sumgayit - MOIK Baku	3:1 ET ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
30.11.24	Zira - Sumgayit	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLWWL
- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.12.24	Səbail - Zira	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Shamakhi - Səbail	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Səbail - Araz Naxçıvan	0:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
03.12.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Səbail	0:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
29.11.24	Sabah - Səbail	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
26.10.24	Səbail - Sumgayit	0:1
17.08.24	Sumgayit - Səbail	2:1
12.05.24	Sumgayit - Səbail	2:1
08.03.24	Səbail - Sumgayit	0:1
23.12.23	Sumgayit - Səbail	1:0
05.08.23	Səbail - Sumgayit	1:4
07.05.23	Sumgayit - Səbail	1:3

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