Match Info

Azerbaijan Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Səbail		Zira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.50	3.80	1.49
	5.90	3.70	1.47	Watch
	4.35	3.01	1.91
	5.50	3.60	1.45
	6.77	3.74	1.44
	6.00	3.85	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.67 ↑ (4.41)	3.62 ↑ (3.62)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Səbail
16%

Draw
25.1%

Zira
58.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.4%

24.8%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

25.8%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Səbail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Səbail - Zira Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zira will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Guima ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 1, Dinho ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
96', 1 - 2, Guima ⚽,
117', 2 - 2, Dinho ⚽,
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Səbail won 0.

Səbail is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Zira has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Zira is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Səbail has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:38 (averaging 0.7:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Səbail against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with 7:14 goals (averaging 0.7:1.4 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan First Division
21.10.26	Shahdag Qusar - Səbail	1:0 ✺
15.10.26	Zagatala - Səbail	1:3 ✺
08.10.26	Səbail - Karvan	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Baku Sporting - Səbail	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	Səbail - Mingachevir	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTWW
- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
23.10.26	Zira - Sumgayit	3:2 ✺
18.10.26	Kapaz - Zira	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Zira - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
10.05.25	Səbail - Zira	0:1
09.03.25	Zira - Səbail	1:0
21.12.24	Səbail - Zira	0:1
04.08.24	Zira - Səbail	4:1
25.05.24	Zira - Səbail	1:0
Azerbaijan Cup
08.02.24	Zira - Səbail	3:0
30.01.24	Səbail - Zira	1:2

Səbail - Zira