Match Info

Date: 5 February 2022, Saturday


	Sunderland		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	9.5
	1.3	5.25	9.25
	1.3	5.25	11
	1.29	5.2	8.8
	1.29	5.59	11.71
	1.29	5	11
	1.31	5.9	11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)	5.38 ↑ (4.75)	10.32 ↑ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
73.2%

Draw
17.6%

Doncaster Rovers
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

19.5%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

10%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-37.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Doncaster Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sunderland - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Sunderland has the most likely position - 3 (19.72%), has project points - 83, has currently - 54, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (60%), has a chance of promoted (36%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Doncaster has the most likely position - 24 (60.24%), has project points - 33, has currently - 19, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Sunderland is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Doncaster is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunderland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sunderland is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League One
29.01.22	Bolton Wanderers - Sunderland	6:0 ✺
22.01.22	Sunderland - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Accrington Stanley - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
11.01.22	Sunderland - Lincoln City	1:3 ✺
08.01.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Sunderland	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLT
- Doncaster Rovers
English League One
01.02.22	Doncaster Rovers - Rotherham United	0:5 ✺
29.01.22	Doncaster Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	1:3 ✺
22.01.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Doncaster Rovers	0:1 ✺
18.01.22	Cambridge United - Doncaster Rovers	3:1 ✺
15.01.22	Doncaster Rovers - Wigan Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
27.12.21	Doncaster Rovers - Sunderland	0:3
13.02.21	Sunderland - Doncaster Rovers	4:1
21.11.20	Doncaster Rovers - Sunderland	1:1
24.01.20	Sunderland - Doncaster Rovers	0:0
29.12.19	Doncaster Rovers - Sunderland	1:2
19.04.19	Sunderland - Doncaster Rovers	2:0
23.10.18	Doncaster Rovers - Sunderland	0:1

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