Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Bolton Wanderers		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.2
	3.5	3.5	1.98
	3.25	3.35	2.25
	3.2	3.35	2.14
	3.38	3.49	2.22
	3.2	3.4	2.15
	3.34	3.7	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.73)	3.46 ↓ (3.63)	2.16 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
28.6%

Draw
27.5%

Sunderland
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

26.4%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

20.9%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bolton Wanderers - Sunderland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Bolton has the most likely position - 14 (9.92%), has project points - 60, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sunderland has the most likely position - 2 (24.8%), has project points - 87, has currently - 54, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a good chance of promoted (56%), has a chance of win league (20%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sunderland will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
22.01.22	Shrewsbury Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
15.01.22	Bolton Wanderers - Ipswich Town	2:0 ✺
11.01.22	Bolton Wanderers - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.01.22	Hartlepool United - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
English League One
01.01.22	Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLL
- Sunderland AFC
English League One
22.01.22	Sunderland - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Accrington Stanley - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
11.01.22	Sunderland - Lincoln City	1:3 ✺
08.01.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Sunderland	3:3 ✺
30.12.21	Sunderland - Sheffield Wednesday	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.09.21	Sunderland - Bolton Wanderers	1:0
26.12.19	Sunderland - Bolton Wanderers	0:0
21.09.19	Bolton Wanderers - Sunderland	1:1
English League Championship
20.02.18	Bolton Wanderers - Sunderland	1:0
31.10.17	Sunderland - Bolton Wanderers	3:3
English FA Cup
15.01.13	Sunderland - Bolton Wanderers	0:2
05.01.13	Bolton Wanderers - Sunderland	2:2

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