The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunderland 60.6%
Draw 22.1%
Lincoln City 17.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.4%
19.2%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
79.4%
16.3%
11.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sunderland's form might have worsened.
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lincoln City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.2%
7.2%
11.6%
Sunderland - Lincoln City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sunderland will win
(56 of 69 users predict this - 81.16%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.93% – 90.39%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Sunderland has the most likely position - 1 (32.02%), has project points - 91, has currently - 50, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a good chance of promoted (69%), has a chance of win league (32%).
Lincoln has the most likely position - 16 (9.5%), has project points - 55, has currently - 25, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Sunderland is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lincoln is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sunderland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Sunderland have a series of guest games.
In this match Sunderland is certain favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.
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