Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 26

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Sunderland		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	1.42	5	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6.75
	1.42	4.67	7.32	Watch
	1.47	4.37	6.45	Watch
	1.44	4.5	7
	1.45	4.65	6.8	Watch
	1.42	4.67	7.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.48)	4.66 ↑ (4.43)	6.88 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
65.9%

Draw
20.3%

Portsmouth
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

21.3%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

21.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.1%	4.3%	6.5%

Sunderland - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (41 of 46 users predict this - 89.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.13% – 98.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 42. Alese A. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 10. Roberts P. 12. Mayenda E. 22. Aouchiche A. 18. Isidor W.	13. Schmid N. (G) 22. Swanson Z. 7. Pack M. (C) 4. Towler R. 3. Ogilvie C. 8. Potts F. 21. Dozzell A. 32. Lane P. 49. Lang C. 23. Murphy J. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
30. Aleksic M. 3. Cirkin D. 24. Connolly A. 33. Hjelde L. F. 41. Johnson Z. 50. Jones H. 21. Moore S. (G) 15. Rusyn N. 47. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.	31. Archer J. (G) 35. Atkinson R. 24. Devlin T. 16. McIntyre T. 17. Moxon O. 30. Ritchie M. 15. Saydee C. 18. Sorensen E. 2. Williams J.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Mousinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Isidor W. ⚽, Mayenda E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alese A. ↓, Cirkin D. ↑,
58', Towler R. 🟨,
64', Swanson Z. 🟨,
67', Pack M. 🟥,
69', Swanson Z. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
69', Lane P. ↓, Atkinson R. ↑,
80', Aouchiche A. ↓, Aleksic M. ↑,
87', Potts F. ↓, Moxon O. ↑,
87', Dozzell A. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
90+2', Mepham C. 🟨,
90+3', Mayenda E. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 3.

Sunderland is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Portsmouth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sunderland is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Abdul Samed S. (Leg Injury) Ballard D. (Muscle Injury) Browne A. (Broken Leg) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) Poveda I. (Muscle Injury) Rigg C. (Knock) Seelt J. (Knee Injury) Watson T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H. (Injury) Bowat I. (Tendon Injury) Farrell J. (Leg Injury) Norris W. (Knee Injury) O'Mahony M. (Hip Injury) Poole R. (Hamstring Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Calf Injury) Yengi K. (Knee Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
01.01.25	Sunderland - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Stoke City - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Blackburn Rovers - Sunderland	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Sunderland - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Swansea City - Sunderland	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWW
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
01.01.25	Portsmouth - Swansea City	4:0 ✺
29.12.24	Bristol City - Portsmouth	3:0 ✺
26.12.24	Watford - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Portsmouth - Coventry City	4:1 ✺
13.12.24	Derby County - Portsmouth	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
31.08.24	Portsmouth - Sunderland	1:3
English League One
22.01.22	Sunderland - Portsmouth	1:0
02.10.21	Portsmouth - Sunderland	4:0
09.03.21	Portsmouth - Sunderland	0:2
24.10.20	Sunderland - Portsmouth	1:3
01.02.20	Portsmouth - Sunderland	2:0
17.08.19	Sunderland - Portsmouth	2:1

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