Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sunderland		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.55
	2.6	3.4	2.65
	2.8	3.3	2.6
	2.9	3.35	2.61
	2.87	3.45	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.45
	3.13	3.33	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.67)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	2.55 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
33.7%

Draw
28.7%

Tottenham Hotspur
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

28.2%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Sunderland - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Tottenham will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 16.4% – 50.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 20. Mukiele N. 13. O'Nien L. 15. Alderete O. 17. Mandava R. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 11. Rigg C. 19. Diarra H. 28. Le Fee E. 9. Brobbey B.	31. Kinsky A. (G) 23. Porro P. 17. Romero C. (C) 37. van de Ven M. 13. Udogie D. 14. Gray A. 22. Gallagher C. 39. Kolo Muani R. 15. Bergvall L. 9. Richarlison 19. Solanke D.
Substitutes
3. Cirkin D. 31. Ellborg M. (G) 6. Geertruida L. 32. Hume T. 18. Isidor W. 50. Jones H. 51. Jones J. 12. Mayenda E. 7. Talbi C.	40. Austin B. (G) 8. Bissouma Y. 4. Danso K. 3. Dragusin R. 6. Palhinha J. 29. Sarr P. M. 7. Simons X. 24. Spence D. 11. Tel M.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	De Zerbi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Romero C. 🟨,
33', Brobbey B. 🟨,
37', van de Ven M. 🟨,
37', Porro P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Mukiele N. ⚽, Diarra H. (A),
62', Richarlison ↓, Tel M. ↑,
62', Bergvall L. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
62', Gray A. ↓, Palhinha J. ↑,
70', Romero C. ↓, Danso K. ↑,
75', Rigg C. 🟨,
82', Rigg C. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
82', Mukiele N. ↓, Hume T. ↑,
85', Gallagher C. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
90+1', Hume T. 🟨,
90+8', Brobbey B. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 0.

Sunderland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tottenham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Sunderland has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Sunderland: Bi J. T. (Ankle Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) Traore B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Davies B. (Ankle Injury) Kudus M. (Muscle Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Odobert W. (Knee Injury) Vicario G. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Angulo N. (Muscle Injury) Ballard D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Bentancur R. (Muscle Injury) Bissouma Y. (Muscle Injury) Sarr P. M. (Shoulder Injury) Tel M. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Tottenham: 0.76% Sunderland: 0.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2:8	-6	2

Last Results with these Odds

Sunderland - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.64%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
22.03.26	Newcastle United - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.03.26	Port Vale - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
03.03.26	Leeds United - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Bournemouth - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WLLWT
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
22.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
15.03.26	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Atlético Madrid - Tottenham Hotspur	5:2 ✺
English Premier League
05.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
04.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Sunderland	1:1
31.01.17	Sunderland - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0
18.09.16	Tottenham Hotspur - Sunderland	1:0
16.01.16	Tottenham Hotspur - Sunderland	4:1
13.09.15	Sunderland - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1
17.01.15	Tottenham Hotspur - Sunderland	2:1
13.09.14	Sunderland - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2

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