Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Elland Road (Leeds) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport OTT 4
Argentina	16:30	Disney+
Armenia	23:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	06:30	Stan Sport
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	01:30	Toffee Live
Belgium	20:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	16:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV
China	03:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	20:30	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	20:30	CANAL+ Sport 7, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	21:30	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	20:30	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	20:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	03:30	M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:30	Spiler2 TV
Iceland	19:30	SÝN Sport 2
India	01:00	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	02:30	Vidio
Japan	04:30	U-NEXT
Kenya	22:30	Gotv
Kosovo	20:30	Arena Premium 3
Malaysia	03:30	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+, Sooka
Nepal	01:15	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:30	SKY Go NZ
Nigeria	20:30	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 4
Norway	20:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	00:30	ARY ZAP
Peru	14:30	Disney+
Philippines	03:30	Setanta Sports
Poland	20:30	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	21:30	Voyo
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	20:30	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	21:30	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Variety 3
South Korea	04:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	20:30	Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:30	AIS PLAY
Turkey	22:30	beIN Connect
Ukraine	21:30	Pershiy
United Kingdom	19:30	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+
Vietnam	02:30	FPT Play
International	19:30	Sport 24


	Leeds United		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.5
	1.93	3.4	4.1
	1.82	3.55	4.65
	1.85	3.6	4.9
	1.85	3.6	4.69	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.4
	1.86	3.61	4.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.91)	3.51 ↑ (3.35)	4.55 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
51.8%

Draw
27.2%

Sunderland
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.5%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	17.1%	3.9%

Leeds United - Sunderland Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sunderland (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Sunderland (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Leeds United will win (59 of 73 users predict this - 80.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 89.85%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leeds United will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Sunderland (votes: 2 - 10.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Darlow K. (G) 24. Justin J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. 2. Bogle J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 44. Gruev I. 3. Gudmundsson G. 18. Stach A. 11. Aaronson B. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.	31. Ellborg M. (G) 13. O'Nien L. (C) 5. Ballard D. 15. Alderete O. 6. Geertruida L. 19. Diarra H. 27. Sadiki N. 32. Hume T. 10. Angulo N. 28. Le Fee E. 12. Mayenda E.
Substitutes
15. Bijol J. 23. Bornauw S. 29. Gnonto W. 7. James D. 8. Longstaff S. 1. Lucas Perri (G) 14. Nmecha L. 10. Piroe J. 22. Tanaka A.	30. Aleksic M. 18. Isidor W. 50. Jones H. 51. Jones J. 21. Moore S. (G) 11. Rigg C. 7. Talbi C. 25. Traore B. 34. Xhaka G.
Coaches
Farke D.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', O'Nien L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Mayenda E. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
56', Geertruida L. ↓, Xhaka G. ↑,
58', Diarra H. 🟨,
62', Gruev I. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
63', Alderete O. 🟨,
70', 0 - 1, Diarra H. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Justin J. ↓, James D. ↑,
74', Aaronson B. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
84', Bogle J. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
84', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Bijol J. ↑,
88', Angulo N. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
90', Gnonto W. 🟨,
90+5', Traore B. ↓, Rigg C. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1.

Leeds has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sunderland is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Leeds is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Bi J. T. (Injury) Brobbey B. (Groin Injury) Cirkin D. (Injury) Mandava R. (Knee Injury) Mukiele N. (Injury) Mundle R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: Okafor N. (Injury) Rodon J. (Knock)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Leeds	8	2	5	1	9:6	3	11
20	Sunderland	8	1	2	5	6:14	-8	5

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Leeds: 0.59% Sunderland: 0.12%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English Premier League
28.02.26	Leeds United - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Aston Villa - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Birmingham City - Leeds United	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
10.02.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Leeds United - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTWTW
- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
28.02.26	Bournemouth - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Sunderland - Fulham	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Oxford United - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Sunderland - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Arsenal - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
28.12.25	Sunderland - Leeds United	1:1
English League Championship
17.02.25	Leeds United - Sunderland	2:1
04.10.24	Sunderland - Leeds United	2:2
09.04.24	Leeds United - Sunderland	0:0
12.12.23	Sunderland - Leeds United	1:0
07.04.18	Leeds United - Sunderland	1:1
19.08.17	Sunderland - Leeds United	0:2

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