Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Sport 24


	Leeds United		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.5
	1.93	3.4	4.1
	1.82	3.55	4.65
	1.85	3.6	4.9
	1.85	3.6	4.69	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.4
	1.86	3.61	4.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.91)	3.51 ↑ (3.35)	4.55 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
51.8%

Draw
27.2%

Sunderland
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.5%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	17.1%	3.9%

Leeds United - Sunderland Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sunderland (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Sunderland (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Leeds United will win (59 of 73 users predict this - 80.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 89.85%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leeds United will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Sunderland (votes: 2 - 10.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Darlow K. (G) 24. Justin J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. 2. Bogle J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 44. Gruev I. 3. Gudmundsson G. 18. Stach A. 11. Aaronson B. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.	31. Ellborg M. (G) 13. O'Nien L. (C) 5. Ballard D. 15. Alderete O. 6. Geertruida L. 19. Diarra H. 27. Sadiki N. 32. Hume T. 10. Angulo N. 28. Le Fee E. 12. Mayenda E.
Substitutes
15. Bijol J. 23. Bornauw S. 29. Gnonto W. 7. James D. 8. Longstaff S. 1. Lucas Perri (G) 14. Nmecha L. 10. Piroe J. 22. Tanaka A.	30. Aleksic M. 18. Isidor W. 50. Jones H. 51. Jones J. 21. Moore S. (G) 11. Rigg C. 7. Talbi C. 25. Traore B. 34. Xhaka G.
Coaches
Farke D.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', O'Nien L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Mayenda E. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
56', Geertruida L. ↓, Xhaka G. ↑,
58', Diarra H. 🟨,
62', Gruev I. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
63', Alderete O. 🟨,
70', 0 - 1, Diarra H. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Justin J. ↓, James D. ↑,
74', Aaronson B. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
84', Bogle J. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
84', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Bijol J. ↑,
88', Angulo N. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
90', Gnonto W. 🟨,
90+5', Traore B. ↓, Rigg C. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1.

Leeds has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sunderland is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Leeds is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Bi J. T. (Injury) Brobbey B. (Groin Injury) Cirkin D. (Injury) Mandava R. (Knee Injury) Mukiele N. (Injury) Mundle R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: Okafor N. (Injury) Rodon J. (Knock)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Leeds: 0.58% Sunderland: 0.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7:3	4	9
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English Premier League
28.02.26	Leeds United - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Aston Villa - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Birmingham City - Leeds United	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
10.02.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Leeds United - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTWTW
- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
28.02.26	Bournemouth - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Sunderland - Fulham	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Oxford United - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Sunderland - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Arsenal - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
28.12.25	Sunderland - Leeds United	1:1
English League Championship
17.02.25	Leeds United - Sunderland	2:1
04.10.24	Sunderland - Leeds United	2:2
09.04.24	Leeds United - Sunderland	0:0
12.12.23	Sunderland - Leeds United	1:0
07.04.18	Leeds United - Sunderland	1:1
19.08.17	Sunderland - Leeds United	0:2

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