Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)

Referee: Zatula A. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Kairat		Kyzylzhar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.20	6.75
	1.38	4.45	7.3	Watch
	1.39	4.59	8.49
	1.3	4.86	8.97	Watch
	1.33	4.2	7.5
	1.34	4.85	8.9	Watch
	1.33	3.66	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.42)	4.4 ↑ (4.14)	7.75 ↑ (7.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
67.5%

Draw
20.7%

Kyzylzhar
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

22.2%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

21.2%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kairat - Kyzylzhar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anarbekov T. (G) 24. Mrynskiy A. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 44. Lucas Africo 3. Mata L. 7. Jorginho 13. Oksanen J. 11. Zeballos S. 10. Satpaev D. 19. Jukkola O. 9. Edmilson	1. Celeadnic D. (G) 71. Sokolenko A. 26. Kerimzhanov O. (C) 22. Kozlenko A. 27. Gubarev N. 88. Pertsukh Y. 23. Piscevic N. 19. Krajisnik D. 10. Bjartalid J. 99. Beugre E. 9. Adil A.
Substitutes
8. Baybek O. 81. Bekbolat I. 18. Glazer D. 28. Gual M. 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 32. Nurgaliev A. 6. Sadybekov A. 25. Shirobokov A. 17. Tuyakbaev A.	13. Bahoken S. 11. Cheredinov A. 28. Chirkov R. 17. Eleukin M. 21. Kurbanov T. 8. Makarenko E. 7. Muldinov T. 32. Petrov V. (G) 5. Slambekov D. 79. Valgushev G.
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.	Curcic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Adil A. 🟨,
39', Beugre E. 🟨,
43', Jukkola O. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Adil A. ↓, Muldinov T. ↑,
55', Edmilson ↓, Gual M. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Satpaev D. ⚽, Jorginho (A),
62', Pertsukh Y. ↓, Chirkov R. ↑,
62', Krajisnik D. ↓, Makarenko E. ↑,
71', Sokolenko A. 🟨,
71', Bjartalid J. ↓, Bahoken S. ↑,
77', Zeballos S. ↓, Bekbolat I. ↑,
77', Jukkola O. ↓, Tuyakbaev A. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Bekbolat I. ⚽, Tuyakbaev A. (A),
87', 3 - 0, Satpaev D. ⚽, Gual M. (A),
88', Satpaev D. ↓, Sadybekov A. ↑,
89', Jorginho ↓, Kurgin L. ↑,
89', Beugre E. ↓, Valgushev G. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 4.

Kairat has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kyzylzhar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kairat is the obvious favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 29.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	26	17	6	3	51:20	31	57
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
13.06.26	Kairat - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
28.05.26	Ordabasy - Kairat	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Kairat - Kaisar	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Zhenis - Kairat	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Ulytau - Kairat	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLTWT
- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
13.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Zhetysu	3:2 ✺
23.05.26	Aktobe - Kyzylzhar	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Altai Semey	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Zhenis - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
17.10.25	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	0:1
21.06.25	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	1:0
17.08.24	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	0:1
02.03.24	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	2:1
02.07.23	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	2:1
24.06.23	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	3:0
02.10.22	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	1:2

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