The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sutton United 44.5%
Draw 27.2%
Swindon Town 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
27.1%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
26.5%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sutton United's performance.
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sutton United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
Sutton United - Swindon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Swindon will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sutton: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Arnold S. (G) 23. Jackson R. 4. Sowunmi O. 22. Kizzi J. 42. Hart S. 7. Coley J. 10. Beautyman H. 31. Lakin C. 3. Adom-Malaki S. 38. Sanderson O. 9. Smith H.
1. Bycroft J. (G) 12. Brewitt T. 24. McCarthy C. 22. Godwin-Malife U. 7. Elbouzedi Z. 23. Drinan A. 29. Aguiar R. 17. Kokolo W. 9. Glatzel P. 32. Austin C. (C) 59. Ofoborh N.
Substitutes
16. Clay C. 50. Duke-McKenna S. 5. Goodliffe B. 6. John L. 30. Kerbey M. 8. N'Guessan C. 11. Patrick O.
25. Brann C. (G) 16. Cain J. 40. Hunt H. 6. McEachran G. 33. McGregor J. 15. McGurk S. 10. McKirdy H.
Coaches
Morison S.
Gunning G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Lakin C. ⚽, Smith H. (A),
21', Jackson R. ↓, Goodliffe B. ↑,
25', Brewitt T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Elbouzedi Z. ↓, McKirdy H. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Bycroft J. (Own goal),
57', Ofoborh N. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
67', Sowunmi O. 🟨,
70', 3 - 0, Smith H. ⚽, Coley J. (A),
74', Aguiar R. ↓, Cain J. ↑,
74', Kokolo W. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
75', Coley J. ↓, Patrick O. ↑,
75', Beautyman H. ↓, N'Guessan C. ↑,
81', Patrick O. 🟨,
84', Adom-Malaki S. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
84', Sanderson O. ↓, Clay C. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Glatzel P. ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 19).
Sutton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Swindon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Swindon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Swindon have a series of home games.
Sutton will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Watch
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Arnold S. (G) 
McCarthy C. 
Kokolo W. 
Glatzel P. 
Ofoborh N. 
Duke-McKenna S. 
Morison S. 
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