Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 41

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)


	Salford City		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.5
	1.98	3.6	3.5
	2	3.6	3.5
	2.04	3.45	3.91
	2.02	3.45	3.91
	2	3.6	3.5
	2.01	3.51	3.51	Watch
	1.93	3.55	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.81)	3.53 ↓ (3.75)	3.6 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
47.2%

Draw
26.7%

Sutton United
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

24.9%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

24%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	28.6%	7.1%

Salford City - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Sutton will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cairns A. (G) 42. Vassell T. 5. Mariappa A. 16. Tilt C. 54. Luamba J. 18. McAleny C. 6. Watt E. (C) 7. Watson R. 3. John D. 17. Smith M. 39. Morton C.	25. Arnold S. (G) 23. Jackson R. 22. Kizzi J. 4. Sowunmi O. 42. Hart S. 7. Coley J. 10. Beautyman H. 31. Lakin C. 3. Adom-Malaki S. 9. Smith H. (C) 38. Sanderson O.
Substitutes
20. Chesters D. 29. Garbutt L. 9. Hendry C. 8. Lund M. 11. McLennan C. 30. N'Mai K. 31. Torrance J. (G)	16. Clay C. 6. John L. 30. Kerbey M. 27. Moore D. 8. N'Guessan C. 11. Patrick O. 39. Williams J.
Coaches
Robinson K.	Morison S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Smith H. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Sanderson O. ⚽, Sowunmi O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', John D. ↓, McLennan C. ↑,
46', Morton C. ↓, Hendry C. ↑,
46', Luamba J. ↓, N'Mai K. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Watson R. ⚽,
56', Sanderson O. 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, Sanderson O. ⚽,
72', Mariappa A. ↓, Garbutt L. ↑,
73', Watson R. ↓, Chesters D. ↑,
82', Coley J. ↓, Patrick O. ↑,
82', Sanderson O. ↓, N'Guessan C. ↑,
88', N'Guessan C. 🟨,
90', Vassell T. 🟨,
90+4', Beautyman H. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salford won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Salford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Salford won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Salford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
23.03.24	Notts County - Salford City	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Salford City - Morecambe	3:1 ✺
14.03.24	Salford City - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Salford City	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Salford City - Gillingham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTLL
- Sutton United
English League Two
23.03.24	Sutton United - Accrington Stanley	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Forest Green Rovers - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Crewe Alexandra - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Sutton United - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Tranmere Rovers - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.10.23	Sutton United - Salford City	0:2
14.01.23	Salford City - Sutton United	2:0
24.09.22	Sutton United - Salford City	1:2
08.02.22	Sutton United - Salford City	0:0
14.08.21	Salford City - Sutton United	0:0
English National League
05.03.19	Salford City - Sutton United	2:0
11.08.18	Sutton United - Salford City	2:1

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