Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 40

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)


	Sutton United		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.3
	2.15	3.4	3.2
	2.1	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.19	3.53	3.42
	2.16	3.53	3.42
	2.15	3.4	3.2
	2.1	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.04	3.45	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.13)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
44.3%

Draw
27.1%

Accrington Stanley
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	26.7%	20%

Sutton United - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sutton: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Arnold S. (G) 23. Jackson R. 4. Sowunmi O. 22. Kizzi J. 42. Hart S. 31. Lakin C. 10. Beautyman H. 7. Coley J. 38. Sanderson O. 3. Adom-Malaki S. 9. Smith H. (C)	61. McIntyre J. (G) 4. Mellor K. 5. Hills B. 16. Gubbins J. 38. O'Brien C. 22. Martin D. 18. Leigh T. 17. Nolan J. 10. Pritchard J. 7. Whalley S. (C) 39. Woods J.
Substitutes
15. Eastmond C. 6. John L. 30. Kerbey M. 8. N'Guessan C. 11. Patrick O. 35. Taylor J. 99. Tume V.	55. Adedoyin K. 19. Bickerstaff J. 28. Conneely S. 30. Henderson A. 1. Savin T. (G) 2. Shipley L. 8. Woods B.
Coaches
Morison S.	Doolan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Smith H. ⚽, Lakin C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Pritchard J. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
46', Woods J. ↓, Adedoyin K. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Lakin C. ⚽,
74', 3 - 0, Adom-Malaki S. ⚽, Lakin C. (A),
82', Nolan J. ↓, Woods B. ↑,
82', Martin D. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
82', Coley J. ↓, Patrick O. ↑,
83', Sanderson O. ↓, N'Guessan C. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Bickerstaff J. ⚽, Hills B. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 16).

Recent matches Sutton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Accrington is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Sutton have a series of guest games.

Sutton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sutton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
16.03.24	Forest Green Rovers - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Crewe Alexandra - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Sutton United - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Tranmere Rovers - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
27.02.24	Notts County - Sutton United	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLTLW
- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
16.03.24	Accrington Stanley - Notts County	2:2 ✺
12.03.24	Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Accrington Stanley - Bradford City	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Wrexham - Accrington Stanley	4:0 ✺
27.02.24	Walsall - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
16.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Sutton United	4:1

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