Match Info

National League - Round 12

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Australia	00:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	17:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	09:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	22:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	19:30	DAZN
Indonesia	21:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	22:00	DAZN
Mexico	08:00	DAZN
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	15:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Philippines	22:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Thailand	21:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	18:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	19:00	DAZN
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
Vietnam	21:00	DAZN


	Sutton United		Boston United

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.5
	1.98	3.6	3.35
	2.11	3.65	3.31
	2.39	3.13	2.97	Watch
	1.99	3.52	3.39
	2	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.04)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	3.32 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
45%

Draw
26.8%

Boston United
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

25.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-1%)

Sutton United - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 37. Bell C. 24. Boutin N. 23. Harris J. J. 17. Jones A. (C) 10. Nadesan A. 34. Njoku B. 14. Pruti E. 8. Simper L. 16. Taylor J. 15. Tizzard W.	1. Lovett R. (G) 15. Carson M. 7. Coyle R. 32. Cropper J. 11. Donnelly K. 8. Hill D. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 5. Mills Z. (C) 19. Richards J. 6. Sloggett G. 4. Teale C.
Substitutes
21. Aziaya D. (G) 22. Dabre M. 11. De Silva D. 26. Eccleston J. 6. Odelusi S. 18. Ogbonna D. 3. Vincent L.	18. Fogarty T. 2. Grist B. . Hampson 16. Hiwula J. 21. Jones B. (G) 17. Lankshear A. 27. Norkett M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Hill D. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Carson M. ⚽,
45', Simper L. 🟨,
45+2', Coyle R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Coyle R. ↓, Lankshear A. ↑,
55', John-Lewis L. N. ↓, Hiwula J. ↑,
56', Harris J. J. 🟨,
62', Harris J. J. ↓, Odelusi S. ↑,
62', Boutin N. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
72', Donnelly K. ↓, Hampson O. ↑,
76', Jones A. 🟨,
78', Bell C. 🟨,
79', Bell C. ↓, Dabre M. ↑,
80', Carson M. ↓, Grist B. ↑,
88', Sims J. 🟨,
89', Pruti E. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
90+1', Hampson O. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Ogbonna D. ⚽,
90+4', Cropper J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Sutton has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Boston United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sutton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Boston United has had a series of home games.

Sutton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sutton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
23.09.25	Woking - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Brackley Town - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Sutton United - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Sutton United - Tamworth	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Altrincham - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Boston United
English National League
24.09.25	Boston United - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Boston United - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Boston United - Sunderland U21	4:0 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Southend United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Boston United - Solihull Moors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.03.25	Boston United - Sutton United	2:1
07.09.24	Sutton United - Boston United	0:3

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