Match Info

National League - Round 12

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Sutton United		Boston United

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.5
	1.98	3.6	3.35
	2.11	3.65	3.31
	2.39	3.13	2.97	Watch
	1.99	3.52	3.39
	2	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.04)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	3.32 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
45%

Draw
26.8%

Boston United
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

25.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-1%)

Sutton United - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 37. Bell C. 24. Boutin N. 23. Harris J. J. 17. Jones A. (C) 10. Nadesan A. 34. Njoku B. 14. Pruti E. 8. Simper L. 16. Taylor J. 15. Tizzard W.	1. Lovett R. (G) 15. Carson M. 7. Coyle R. 32. Cropper J. 11. Donnelly K. 8. Hill D. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 5. Mills Z. (C) 19. Richards J. 6. Sloggett G. 4. Teale C.
Substitutes
21. Aziaya D. (G) 22. Dabre M. 11. De Silva D. 26. Eccleston J. 6. Odelusi S. 18. Ogbonna D. 3. Vincent L.	18. Fogarty T. 2. Grist B. . Hampson 16. Hiwula J. 21. Jones B. (G) 17. Lankshear A. 27. Norkett M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Hill D. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Carson M. ⚽,
45', Simper L. 🟨,
45+2', Coyle R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Coyle R. ↓, Lankshear A. ↑,
55', John-Lewis L. N. ↓, Hiwula J. ↑,
56', Harris J. J. 🟨,
62', Harris J. J. ↓, Odelusi S. ↑,
62', Boutin N. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
72', Donnelly K. ↓, Hampson O. ↑,
76', Jones A. 🟨,
78', Bell C. 🟨,
79', Bell C. ↓, Dabre M. ↑,
80', Carson M. ↓, Grist B. ↑,
88', Sims J. 🟨,
89', Pruti E. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
90+1', Hampson O. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Ogbonna D. ⚽,
90+4', Cropper J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Sutton has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Boston United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sutton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Boston United has had a series of home games.

Sutton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sutton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
23.09.25	Woking - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Brackley Town - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Sutton United - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Sutton United - Tamworth	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Altrincham - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Boston United
English National League
24.09.25	Boston United - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Boston United - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Boston United - Sunderland U21	4:0 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Southend United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Boston United - Solihull Moors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.03.25	Boston United - Sutton United	2:1
07.09.24	Sutton United - Boston United	0:3

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