Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K LEAGUE 1 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 38

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport


	Suwon Bluewings		Gangwon

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.88	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.52	3.4	2.96
	2.53	3.39	2.97
	2.38	3.4	2.8
	2.4	3.42	2.84	Watch
	2.4	3.35	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.38)	3.4 ↑ (3.35)	2.86 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon Bluewings
39.1%

Draw
27.8%

Gangwon
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

28.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Gangwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Suwon Bluewings - Gangwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Gangwon will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yang Hyung-Mo (G) 11. Kim Tae-Hwan 66. Kim J. 5. Hogang H. 77. Son Ho-Jun 18. Acosty M. 7. Ko Seung-Beom (C) 6. Han Suk-Jong 97. Rodrigo Bassani 9. An Byong-Jun 45. Popo	31. Lee Gwang-Yeon (G) 88. Hwang Mun-Ki 2. Kim Young-Bin 74. Tuci M. 20. Yun Suk-Young (C) 4. Seo Min-Woo 6. Alibaev I. 17. Yu In-Soo 10. Kim Dae-Won 33. Lee Seung-Won 18. Lee Jeong-Hyeop
Substitutes
99. An Chan-Gi (G) 15. Go Myeong-Seok 10. Jeong Seung-Won 13. Kim Bo-Kyung 37. Kim Joo-Chan 44. Mulic F. 33. Park Dae-Won	11. Galego 8. Han Kook-Young 26. Jo Hyun-Tae 24. Kim Jin-Ho 63. Vitor Gabriel 73. Yun Il-Lok 1. Yu Sang-Hun (G)
Coaches
Kim Byung-Soo	Yoon J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Suwon Bluewings won 2.

Suwon Bluewings is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gangwon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Suwon Bluewings won 12 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 43-35.

Including matches at home between the teams Suwon Bluewings won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 1
25.11.23	FC Seoul - Suwon Bluewings	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Suwon - Suwon Bluewings	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	Suwon Bluewings - Daejeon Citizen	2:2 ✺
22.10.23	Jeju - Suwon Bluewings	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Suwon Bluewings - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WWTLW
- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
25.11.23	Gangwon - Suwon	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Gangwon - Jeju	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	FC Seoul - Gangwon	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Gwangju - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
22.07.23	Gangwon - Suwon Bluewings	1:2
13.05.23	Gangwon - Suwon Bluewings	0:2
02.04.23	Suwon Bluewings - Gangwon	1:1
27.08.22	Suwon Bluewings - Gangwon	2:3
29.05.22	Gangwon - Suwon Bluewings	1:1
South Korean Cup
25.05.22	Suwon Bluewings - Gangwon	2:0
South Korean K-League 1
19.03.22	Suwon Bluewings - Gangwon	2:2

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