Match Info

K League 1 - Round 30

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play, ENA Sports
Switzerland	LAOLA1
World	K League TV


	Gangwon		Jeju

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.90	3.30	Watch
	2.30	3.10	3.20
	2.23	2.90	3.00
	2.37	3.15	3.51
	2.12	3.3	3.46	Watch
	2.25	3.10	3.45
	2.30	3.00	3.32	Watch
	2.28	3.00	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.06)	3.06 ↓ (3.38)	3.31 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangwon
41.3%

Draw
30.5%

Jeju
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.6%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

27.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Jeju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Gangwon - Jeju Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jeju will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 97. Lee You-Hyeon (C) 24. Park H. 71. Kang Seong-yun 33. Hong Chul 10. Mo Jae-Hyeon 6. Kim Dong-Hyun 4. Seo Min-Woo 27. Kim Do-Hyun 9. Kim Gun-Hee 70. Sekidika J.	1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 17. Yu In-Soo 2. Figueiredo T. 41. Kim Jae-Woo 13. Jeong Woon (C) 24. Choi Byung-wook 5. Italo 20. Jang M. 33. Park Su-bin 94. Emerson Negueba 18. Kim Shin-Jin
Substitutes
96. Choe Byeong-Chan 29. Choi Jae-hyuck 11. Goh Young-Jun 77. Hleihel A. 3. Jeong Seung-Bin 41. Kim Y. (G) 57. Lee Yong-Jae 5. Mammar Chaouche A. 19. Park Sang-Hyeok	3. Celestine J. 22. Cinari E. 81. Heo J. (G) 55. Kang Dong-hwi 39. Kim Jae-min 40. Kim Ryun-sung 6. Kwon Gi-min 47. Park Min-jae 11. Shin Sang-Eun
Coaches
Chung Kyung-Ho	Costa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Jang M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Italo ⚽, Kim Shin-Jin (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kim Gun-Hee ↓, Goh Young-Jun ↑,
46', Kim Dong-Hyun ↓, Choe Byeong-Chan ↑,
46', Kang Seong-yun 🟨,
54', Jeong Woon ↓, Kim Ryun-sung ↑,
54', Kang Seong-yun ↓, Jeong Seung-Bin ↑,
64', Sekidika J. ↓, Hleihel A. ↑,
70', Kim Shin-Jin ↓, Shin Sang-Eun ↑,
70', Choi Byung-wook ↓, Cinari E. ↑,
75', Hong Chul ↓, Mammar Chaouche A. ↑,
82', Park Su-bin ↓, Kwon Gi-min ↑,
82', Jang M. ↓, Celestine J. ↑,
90', Kim Jae-Woo 🟨,
90+2', Park Cheong-Hyo 🟨,
90+6', Emerson Negueba 🟨,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Gangwon may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Gangwon is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gangwon has recorded 7 wins, 12 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 31:18 (averaging 1.6:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gangwon against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 19:11 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gangwon	31	11	13	7	38:28	10	46
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36:31	5	46

Last Results with these Odds

Gangwon - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.28%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Jeju - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 27.12%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
AFC Champions League 2
17.09.26	Kitchee - Gangwon	0:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
13.09.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon	2:2 ✺
09.09.26	Gangwon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Anyang - Gangwon	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTTWT
- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
12.09.26	Bucheon - Jeju	2:2 ✺
09.09.26	Gwangju - Jeju	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Jeju - Ulsan HD	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Jeju - Daejeon Citizen	3:1 ✺
25.08.26	Jeju - Pohang Steelers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
21.07.26	Jeju - Gangwon	1:1
22.03.26	Gangwon - Jeju	1:1
15.08.25	Jeju - Gangwon	0:0
06.05.25	Jeju - Gangwon	0:3
02.03.25	Gangwon - Jeju	0:0
20.07.24	Gangwon - Jeju	4:0
02.06.24	Jeju - Gangwon	1:2

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