Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 5

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Swieqi United		Mġarr United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	2.9
	1.83	3.3	4.3	Watch
	1.9	3.22	3.99
	1.96	3.35	3.45
	1.92	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.14)	3.27 ↓ (3.58)	3.68 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swieqi United
47.3%

Draw
27.9%

Mġarr United
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

25.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

26%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swieqi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mġarr United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swieqi United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mġarr United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Swieqi United - Mġarr United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Debattista J. C. (C) 5. Abela D. 19. Brafo B. 8. Fenech P. 9. Katanic A. 13. Mallia J. 7. Mattocks L. 21. Micallef M. 10. Schembri Wismayer A. 6. Spiteri M. 18. Vella J.	1. Debono J. (G) 27. Attard M. 15. Borg A. (C) 29. Donsu K. 18. Ebisindor C. 11. Gauci C. 24. Mifsud M. 5. Mijic L. 16. Okoh S. 2. Vukovic D. 14. Zammit C.
Substitutes
96. Agius D. 26. Ellul Ruggier K. (G) 97. Hudson M. 77. Magri S. 11. Milenkovic N. 4. Muscat K. 14. Pisani N. 17. Siaw S. 80. Vella T.	7. Azzopardi K. 23. Boakye S. 3. Bonnici K. 17. Farrugia L. 8. Frendo K. 22. Galea Z. 6. Howland T. 12. Muscat J. (G) 95. Sammut N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', Katanic A. ↓, Siaw S. ↑,
26', 0 - 1, Ebisindor C. ⚽,
28', 🟨,
28', Brafo B. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Ebisindor C. ⚽,
44', Mattocks L. 🟨,
44', Mattocks L. ↓, Vella T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 2, ⚽,
77', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Swieqi United have a series of guest games.

Recently Mġarr United have a series of home games.

Swieqi United will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Swieqi United won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Swieqi United won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swieqi United
Maltese Challenge League
08.03.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Swieqi United	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Swieqi United - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Żurrieq - Swieqi United	3:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.25	Marsa - Swieqi United	2:3 ✺
15.02.25	Valletta - Swieqi United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLWL
- Mġarr United
Maltese Challenge League
09.03.25	Mġarr United - Valletta	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Santa Lucia - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Mġarr United - Mtarfa	1:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.25	Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2 ✺
15.02.25	Mġarr United - Marsa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
03.11.24	Swieqi United - Mġarr United	0:0
04.03.22	Swieqi United - Mġarr United	1:1
27.11.21	Mġarr United - Swieqi United	1:2

Swieqi United - Mġarr United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide