Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 3

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Alphonse Theis (Hesperange)


	Swift Hesperange		Progrès Niedercorn

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2
	3.2	3.6	1.92
	3.32	3.79	1.98
	3.56	3.47	1.95	Watch
	3.28	3.52	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.68)	3.6 ↑ (3.46)	1.96 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swift Hesperange
28.1%

Draw
25.4%

Progrès Niedercorn
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

26.1%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swift Hesperange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swift Hesperange's form might have worsened.

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Progrès Niedercorn's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	4.5%	90.9%

Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Swift Hesperange will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Progrès Niedercorn will win (votes: 20 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Progrès Niedercorn: 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Progrès Niedercorn will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Dupire G. (G) 6. Bouazzati Y. 23. Cisse M. 3. El Foukhari I. 5. Erkus E. 24. Herbin G. 28. Kaloga M. 29. Nguinda P. 14. Ninte Junior F. 26. Prempeh J. (C) 15. Savane H.	31. Alves Margato J. (G) 73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 9. Chambon H. 77. Corral K. 23. Duarte C. 28. Guett A. 26. Hend B. 10. Natami O. 27. Peugnet V. 14. Sacras C. 2. Thill O. (C)
Substitutes
89. Bochu N. 1. De Oliveira L. (G) 22. Drame S. 81. Jordao L. 21. Nsombi G. 36. Skenderovic K. 78. Tshiabuiye G.	18. Boesen V. 19. Bouche Y. 1. Flauss S. (G) 11. Gilgemann M. 76. Nigro S. 29. Oger M. 7. Schmid J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', Dupire G. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Hend B. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Corral K. ↓, Bouche Y. ↑,
56', Nguinda P. 🟨,
57', Kaloga M. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Cisse M. ⚽,
65', Erkus E. ↓, Nsombi G. ↑,
72', Chambon H. ↓, Boesen V. ↑,
77', Prempeh J. 🟨,
78', 1 - 2, Hend B. (Pen),
83', 1 - 3, Bouche Y. ⚽, Natami O. (A),
83', Bouazzati Y. ↓, Drame S. ↑,
84', Savane H. 🟥,
87', Hend B. ↓, Schmid J. ↑,
89', Natami O. ↓, Gilgemann M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, Boesen V. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange won 1.

Progrès Niedercorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Progrès Niedercorn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Swift Hesperange won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg National Division
10.08.25	Swift Hesperange - UNA Strassen	4:2 ✺
03.08.25	Swift Hesperange - Pétange	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Pétange - Swift Hesperange	0:3 ✺
18.05.25	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Swift Hesperange	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WTWWL
- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
09.08.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Mamer	1:2 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
25.05.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Mondercange	7:2 ✺
18.05.25	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Pétange	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
18.05.25	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0
11.12.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Swift Hesperange	1:1
Luxembourg Cup
09.05.24	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 penalties
Luxembourg National Division
25.02.24	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:0
27.08.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Swift Hesperange	2:0
21.05.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Swift Hesperange	2:2
07.08.22	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	4:2

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