Match Info

League Two - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: County Ground (Swindon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	10:00	Paramount+


	Swindon Town		Salford City

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.65
	2.42	3.35	2.78
	2.42	3.43	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.7
	2.42	3.34	2.73	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.32)	3.36 ↑ (3.35)	2.73 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
38.4%

Draw
27.6%

Salford City
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.4%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

28.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Swindon Town - Salford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 33. McGregor J. 5. Wright W. (C) 17. Tafazolli R. 16. Wilson-Brown T. 18. Kilkenny G. 7. Nichols T. 44. Oldaker D. 19. Snowdon J. 28. Palmer O. 23. Drinan A.	1. Young M. (G) 6. Turton O. 15. Cooper B. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 8. Grant J. 19. Mnoga H. 21. Cesay K. 17. Austerfield J. 10. N'Mai K. 23. Udoh D. 26. Graydon R.
Substitutes
6. Ball J. 25. Borland A. 24. Holman F. 34. Kirkman B. 3. Mabete F. 29. Olakigbe M. 12. Ward L. (G)	28. Awe Z. 16. Borini F. 18. Butcher M. 33. Howard M. (G) 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 9. Stockton C. 7. Woodburn B.
Coaches
Holloway I.	Robinson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Turton O. ⚽, Garbutt L. (A),
31', 0 - 2, N'Mai K. ⚽, Graydon R. (A),
35', 1 - 2, McGregor J. ⚽, Wright W. (A),
39', Austerfield J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Snowdon J. 🟨,
59', Snowdon J. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
64', Palmer O. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
64', Nichols T. ↓, Borland A. ↑,
65', Cooper B. 🟨,
66', Austerfield J. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
67', Garbutt L. 🟨,
72', 1 - 3, Cesay K. ⚽, Udoh D. (A),
73', Woodburn B. 🟨,
74', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Kirkman B. ↑,
74', Tafazolli R. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Drinan A. ⚽, Holman F. (A),
83', Grant J. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
83', Turton O. ↓, Awe Z. ↑,
87', Wright W. 🟨,
90+5', N'Mai K. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 0.

Swindon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Salford is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Salford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Glatzel P. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Salford: Bird J. (Inactive) Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Edwards T. (Inactive) Harris K. (Inactive) Rose M. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Swindon: Bodin B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive) Woodburn B. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Salford	13	9	1	3	23:14	9	28
14	Swindon	13	4	4	5	13:16	-3	16

Outrights of English League Two for now

Salford: 9.17% Swindon: 1.77%

Last Results with these Odds

Salford City - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.01%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English EFL Trophy
13.01.26	Luton Town - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
English League Two
01.01.26	Swindon Town - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
29.12.25	Cheltenham Town - Swindon Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Swindon Town - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWLW
- Salford City
English League Two
01.01.26	Barrow - Salford City	1:2 ✺
29.12.25	Salford City - Fleetwood Town	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Salford City - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Barnet - Salford City	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Salford City - Colchester United	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
20.09.25	Salford City - Swindon Town	3:2
04.03.25	Swindon Town - Salford City	2:2
22.10.24	Salford City - Swindon Town	2:1
10.02.24	Swindon Town - Salford City	1:1
21.10.23	Salford City - Swindon Town	2:2
18.02.23	Salford City - Swindon Town	1:2
06.08.22	Swindon Town - Salford City	0:0

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