Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Swindon Town		Hull City

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	2
	3.5	3.5	2
	3.55	3.75	2
	3.55	3.45	1.96
	3.71	3.92	1.98
	3.6	3.4	1.95
	3.75	3.76	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.29)	3.65 ↑ (3.55)	1.99 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
26.4%

Draw
26%

Hull City
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26.6%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

20.3%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hull City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Swindon Town - Hull City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation to League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion to Championship).

Swindon has a chance of relegated (29%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hull has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a good chance of promoted (61%), has a chance of win league (33%).

Swindon has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hull is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Swindon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hull will have a small advantage in this match.

Hull will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English League One
20.10.20	Northampton Town - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
17.10.20	Swindon Town - Sunderland	0:2 ✺
10.10.20	Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Swindon Town - Exeter City	3:4 ✺
English League One
03.10.20	Peterborough United - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hull City
English League One
27.10.20	Bristol Rovers - Hull City	1:3 ✺
24.10.20	Hull City - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
20.10.20	Hull City - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
17.10.20	Rochdale - Hull City	0:3 ✺
09.10.20	Fleetwood Town - Hull City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL

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