Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	Swindon Town		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.75
	4.5	3.6	1.75
	5	3.8	1.7
	4.5	3.55	1.73
	4.76	3.73	1.81
	4.75	3.4	1.73
	5	3.68	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (3.98)	3.64 ↑ (3.51)	1.75 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
20.1%

Draw
26%

Sunderland
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.9%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

21%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	7.4%	77.8%

Swindon Town - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Sunderland will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Swindon has a chance of relegated (18%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sunderland has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (50%), has a chance of win league (22%).

Swindon is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunderland is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sunderland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English League One
10.10.20	Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Swindon Town - Exeter City	3:4 ✺
English League One
03.10.20	Peterborough United - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
26.09.20	Swindon Town - Burton Albion	4:2 ✺
19.09.20	Blackpool - Swindon Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Sunderland AFC
English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Sunderland - Carlisle United	5:3 ✺
English League One
03.10.20	Charlton Athletic - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
26.09.20	Sunderland - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Oxford United - Sunderland	0:2 ✺
12.09.20	Sunderland - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWT

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