Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 13

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Harrogate Town		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.8	1.57
	5.5	3.9	1.58
	5.5	4	1.6	Watch
	6.09	3.94	1.61
	5.5	3.8	1.6
	5.6	3.94	1.59	Watch
	5.6	3.75	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (3.55)	3.88 ↑ (3.45)	1.59 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
16.4%

Draw
24.3%

Stockport County
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.9%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

26.2%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harrogate Town's form might have worsened.

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrogate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Harrogate Town - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: Stockport County will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oxley M. (G) 20. Ramsay K. 15. O'Connor A. 6. Burrell W. 30. Gibson L. 4. Falkingham J. 8. Cornelius D. 7. Thomson G. 10. Daly M. 11. Daly J. 24. March J.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 7. Southam M. 4. Wright A. 6. Horsfall F. 15. Pye E. 14. Collar W. 18. Croasdale R. (C) 27. Bailey O. 10. Sarcevic A. 25. Olaofe I. 20. Barry L.
Substitutes
29. Armstrong L. 12. Folarin S. 23. Foulds M. 18. Muldoon J. 14. Sims T. 19. Sivi J. 13. Thomas L. (G)	8. Camps C. 21. Hippolyte M. 9. Madden P. 23. Pond A. 26. Richardson J. 12. Smith J. (G) 19. Wootton K.
Coaches
Weaver S.	Challinor D.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 1.

Recent matches Harrogate is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stockport is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Stockport is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley	3:5 ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Newport County - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Harrogate Town - Salford City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWLWW
- Stockport County
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Salford City - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Stockport County - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
03.10.23	Stockport County - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Stockport County - Wrexham	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
11.02.23	Harrogate Town - Stockport County	1:3
17.09.22	Stockport County - Harrogate Town	0:0
English League Cup
09.08.22	Harrogate Town - Stockport County	0:1
English National League
24.08.19	Harrogate Town - Stockport County	2:1
English FA Trophy
02.02.19	Harrogate Town - Stockport County	2:4
English National League North
23.01.18	Harrogate Town - Stockport County	4:1
12.08.17	Stockport County - Harrogate Town	2:2

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