Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Charlton Athletic		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.3
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	3.2	3.4	2.25
	3	3.2	2.3
	3.24	3.24	2.4
	3	3.2	2.35
	3.34	3.28	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.14)	3.26 ↓ (3.44)	2.32 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
30%

Draw
29.1%

Sunderland
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

27.6%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

18.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlton Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Charlton Athletic - Sunderland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).

Charlton has the most likely position - 13 (15.01%), has project points - 56, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Sunderland has the most likely position - 6 (17.82%), has project points - 77, has currently - 59, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 22, small importance 16, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlton won 3.

Charlton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sunderland is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunderland will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Charlton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
26.02.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Charlton Athletic	2:0 ✺
22.02.22	Charlton Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	0:4 ✺
12.02.22	Wigan Athletic - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
08.02.22	Bolton Wanderers - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sunderland AFC
English League One
26.02.22	Wigan Athletic - Sunderland	0:3 ✺
22.02.22	Sunderland - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Sunderland - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	AFC Wimbledon - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
08.02.22	Cheltenham Town - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.10.21	Sunderland - Charlton Athletic	0:1
10.04.21	Sunderland - Charlton Athletic	1:2
03.10.20	Charlton Athletic - Sunderland	0:0
26.05.19	Charlton Athletic - Sunderland	2:1
05.01.19	Charlton Athletic - Sunderland	1:1
04.08.18	Sunderland - Charlton Athletic	2:1

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